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FNUS86 KLOX 152214
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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

ECC029-161615-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

  A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ON SOME OF THE HIGHER EASTERN RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...HOWEVER THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD AS A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER HAS RESULTED IN HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES ON THE WESTERN SLOPES.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE COAST...A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
MOVING WELL INLAND TO THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE IMPROVED OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES AND DESERTS.

FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...THE DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PROVIDE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
LOW LEVEL HUMIDITIES BUT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE CONTINUED LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. 

BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST...AS ANOTHER LOW WEST OF CENTRAL BAJA BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD AS FLOW SHIFTS TO
A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
FABIO WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE OVER THE AREA.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE WEST COAST THROUGH
MONDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
MIDWEEK...ESPECIALLY FOR INLAND AREAS. THE TROUGH WILL LIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK TO
NEAR NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK.


NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED. 
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.

$$


ECC028-161615-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

  A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ON SOME OF THE HIGHER EASTERN RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...HOWEVER THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD AS A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER HAS RESULTED IN HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES ON THE WESTERN SLOPES.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE COAST...A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
MOVING WELL INLAND TO THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE IMPROVED OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES AND DESERTS.

FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...THE DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PROVIDE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
LOW LEVEL HUMIDITIES BUT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE CONTINUED LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. 

BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST...AS ANOTHER LOW WEST OF CENTRAL BAJA BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD AS FLOW SHIFTS TO
A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
FABIO WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE OVER THE AREA.


$$

ECC031-161615-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

  A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ON SOME OF THE HIGHER EASTERN RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...HOWEVER THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD AS A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER HAS RESULTED IN HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES ON THE WESTERN SLOPES.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE COAST...A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
MOVING WELL INLAND TO THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE IMPROVED OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES AND DESERTS.

FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...THE DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PROVIDE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
LOW LEVEL HUMIDITIES BUT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE CONTINUED LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. 

BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST...AS ANOTHER LOW WEST OF CENTRAL BAJA BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD AS FLOW SHIFTS TO
A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
FABIO WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE OVER THE AREA.



$$

ECC024-161615-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

  A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ON SOME OF THE HIGHER EASTERN RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...HOWEVER THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD AS A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER HAS RESULTED IN HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES ON THE WESTERN SLOPES.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE COAST...A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
MOVING WELL INLAND TO THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE IMPROVED OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES AND DESERTS.

FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...THE DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PROVIDE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
LOW LEVEL HUMIDITIES BUT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE CONTINUED LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. 

BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST...AS ANOTHER LOW WEST OF CENTRAL BAJA BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD AS FLOW SHIFTS TO
A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
FABIO WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE OVER THE AREA.


$$

ECC032-161615-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

  A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ON SOME OF THE HIGHER EASTERN RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...HOWEVER THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD AS A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER HAS RESULTED IN HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES ON THE WESTERN SLOPES.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE COAST...A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
MOVING WELL INLAND TO THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE IMPROVED OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES AND DESERTS.

FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...THE DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PROVIDE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
LOW LEVEL HUMIDITIES BUT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE CONTINUED LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. 

BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST...AS ANOTHER LOW WEST OF CENTRAL BAJA BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD AS FLOW SHIFTS TO
A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
FABIO WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE OVER THE AREA.


$$

ECC030-161615-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
314 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012

  A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ON SOME OF THE HIGHER EASTERN RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...HOWEVER THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
WIDESPREAD AS A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER HAS RESULTED IN HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES ON THE WESTERN SLOPES.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE COAST...A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHTTIME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
MOVING WELL INLAND TO THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL PROVIDE IMPROVED OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE
COAST AND VALLEYS AND THE WESTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES AND DESERTS.

FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY...THE DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PROVIDE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN
LOW LEVEL HUMIDITIES BUT GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE CONTINUED LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. 

BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST...AS ANOTHER LOW WEST OF CENTRAL BAJA BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND UPWARD AS FLOW SHIFTS TO
A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM
FABIO WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AS MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE OVER THE AREA.


$$