138 
FNUS86 KSGX 111124
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
424 AM PDT WED JUL 11 2012

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE HOT WEATHER INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY 
FOLLOWED BY SLOW COOLING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH OF 
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE WEST COAST. INCREASING MONSOONAL 
MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG OUTFLOW 
WINDS TO AROUND 45 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS FOR THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY 
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE 
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SHALLOW MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP AREAS NEAR THE 
COAST COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHWEST AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST
OVER THE AREA. INLAND TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY RANGE 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SLIGHT COOLING IS EXPECTED FRIDAY
AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS AND SHIFTS SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA.
A COOLING TREND WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AND INLAND TEMPERATURES
WILL LIKELY COOL TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY SATURDAY. 

THERE WILL BE A INCREASE IN MONSOON MOISTURE MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COULD RESULT IN TOWERING
CUMULUS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 14. THE 
MOISTURE WILL THEN LIKELY INCREASE OVER MOST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE 
VALLEY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND A THREAT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE
EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SINCE THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL REMAIN QUITE DRY...EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF RAINFALL WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE DISTRICT
TODAY AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RESIDES OVER THE GREAT BASIN.
THERE MAY BE ENOUGH MID LEVEL TROPICAL MOISTURE PULLED NORTHWARD
INTO THE AREA TO PRODUCE ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
WET AND MORE NUMEROUS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN INFLUX OF
DEEPER MONSOONAL MOISTURE OCCURS. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL
AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT DANGEROUSLY HOT LEVELS 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE STAYS ANCHORED OVER THE 
GREAT BASIN. THE NEXT SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BRING A SLIGHT 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO MOST AREAS ON THURSDAY WITH BETTER 
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH
AND EAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.



Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


ANOTHER DECENT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF PHOENIX THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COVERAGE WILL EXPAND DOWN INTO SOUTH- CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA BY THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE MID TO LOWER TEENS WITH OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FAIR
TO GOOD. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM AND OUTFLOW INFLUENCES...WINDS
SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT WITH THE TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTIONAL
TRENDS. AS WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...LIGHTNING WILL BE A THREAT.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-112324-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
424 AM PDT WED JUL 11 2012


HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE HOT WEATHER INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY 
FOLLOWED BY SLOW COOLING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH OF 
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE WEST COAST. INCREASING MONSOONAL 
MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG OUTFLOW 
WINDS TO AROUND 45 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS FOR THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY 
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE 
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SHALLOW MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP AREAS NEAR THE 
COAST COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES.

$$

ECC034-112324-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
424 AM PDT WED JUL 11 2012


HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE HOT WEATHER INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY 
FOLLOWED BY SLOW COOLING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH OF 
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE WEST COAST. INCREASING MONSOONAL 
MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG OUTFLOW 
WINDS TO AROUND 45 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS FOR THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY 
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE 
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SHALLOW MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP AREAS NEAR THE 
COAST COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES.

$$

ECC035-112324-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
424 AM PDT WED JUL 11 2012


HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE HOT WEATHER INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY 
FOLLOWED BY SLOW COOLING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK TROUGH OF 
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE WEST COAST. INCREASING MONSOONAL 
MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG OUTFLOW 
WINDS TO AROUND 45 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS FOR THIS 
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY 
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE 
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SHALLOW MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP AREAS NEAR THE 
COAST COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES.

$$