228 
FNUS73 KPAH 191415
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNSON DAIRY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
915 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19. 

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BULGE NORTH INTO MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...KEEPING MOST AREAS RAINFREE WITH
NEAR RECORD OR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MOVING IN JUST OFF TO OUR WEST
IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). 
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. 
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH 
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-4700 
                    FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 32 MPH. 

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  
WEATHER COV.....                                    
WEATHER TYPE....                                    
TEMP............70  73  76  78  79  80  81  80  79  
RH..............69  63  56  51  46  42  39  41  44  
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  8   
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.7 
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
TRANSP WIND SPD.28  26  26  26  26  28  29  31  32  
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. 
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL 
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 TO 44 MPH INCREASING TO 41 TO 47 MPH 
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN 
                    DECREASING TO 28 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT 
                    DECREASING TO 14 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE 
                    MORNING. 

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM   
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............77     71     68     66     64     63     
RH..............47     60     66     69     74     76     
20 FT WIND......S 7    SE 6   SE 6   S 6    S 5    S 5    
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10     
MIX HGT (FT)....4900   5100   5000   4500   3000   1400   
TRANSPORT WIND..S 35   S 40   S 46   S 46   S 35   S 20   
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0      
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      5      

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). 
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84. 
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH 
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL 
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-7000 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 38 MPH. 

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM      
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     
WEATHER COV.....                                        
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
TEMP............61        71        79        83        
RH..............81        60        43        40        
20 FT WIND......S 5G10    S 9G20    S 12G30   S 12G30   
MIX HGT (FT)....700       3000      6000      7000      
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10      S 21      S 37      S 38      
CWR.............0         0         0         0         
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         4         

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120319.JOHNS.01/PAH