AFOS product FWSLIX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSLIX
Product Timestamp: 2010-05-08 12:12 UTC

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026 
FNUS74 KLIX 081212
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
712 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.SYNOPSIS...
1016 LOW PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ALONG A  
COLD FRONT NOW STRETCHING FROM NORTHERN GA TO NEAR HATTIESBURG AND MCCOMB 
AND THEN ACROSS BEAUMONT AND GALVESTON. THIS FRONT HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY 
IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SINK SOUTH AT 
10 TO 15 KNOTS INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD APPROACH THE 
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AROUND 18Z. 

.WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY...
NONE.

.WIND PROFILE...
    SFC...WSW 10KT
  250FT...WSW 11KT
  500FT...WSW 12KT
   1KFT...  W 13KT
   2KFT...WNW 13KT
   3KFT...WNW 14KT
   4KFT...WNW 14KT
   5KFT...WNW 15KT
MAX WIND...273/58KT 40.3KFT.
DRY LAPSE RATE UP TO 500FT...MOIST ADIABATICALLY FROM 500 TO 1200FT...
DRY LAPSE RATE FROM 1200 TO 2700FT...INVERSION FROM 2700 TO 3500FT...DRY
LAPSE RATE FROM 3500 TO 9500FT...MOIST ADIABATICALLY FROM 9500 TO
11500FT...DRY LAPSE RATE AFTER THAT.

.NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS...
...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS
...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS
...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS
...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W
...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W
...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W
...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W


METAR KBVE 081151Z AUTO 25010KT 8SM BKN019 26/22 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP180
     T02560222 10261 20244 53016 TSNO
METAR KGAO 081145Z AUTO 27006KT 10SM OVC020 25/23 A3007 RMK AO2
NO METAR FOR HSA OVERNIGHT
METAR KIPN 081135Z AUTO 28009KT 10SM CLR 26/24 A3007 RMK A01
METAR KMYT 081135Z AUTO 25008KT 2 1/2SM BR CLR 25/23 A3006 RMK A01
METAR KSPR 081140Z AUTO 24004KT 7SM 24/23 A3005 RMK A01
METAR KMDJ 081155Z AUTO 27011G17KT 8SM OVC014 26/22 A3009 RMK A01

SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY

KHUM 081151Z 0812/0912 21003KT 6SM BR BKN017
     FM081400 33012KT P6SM BKN018
     FM081700 01011G18KT P6SM BKN025
     FM082100 05009KT P6SM SCT030=

TAF AMD
KBVE 081151Z 0812/0912 25010KT P6SM BKN019
      TEMPO 0811/0814 5SM BR BKN014
     FM081400 29012KT P6SM BKN019
     FM081700 33012G18KT P6SM BKN022
     FM081900 01012G19KT P6SM BKN030=

TAF AMD
KHSA 081151Z 0812/0912 29009KT P6SM BKN020
     FM081500 33010KT P6SM BKN020
     FM081700 36010KT P6SM BKN015
     FM081830 01011G19KT P6SM BKN030
     FM082200 02007KT P6SM SCT050=


AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...MVFR BKN015-025. MDT NW WND PM
AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...MVFR BKN025-030 AM. VFR SCT025 PM. 
   MDT NE WND. 
AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...MVFR SCT-BKN020-025. MDT E WND.
AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT025-030. MDT SE WND.

.RADAR...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE STILL NORTH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
APPROACHING SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. OVER THE WATER ALL WAS CLEAR FROM 
A RADAR STANDPOINT.
 
.TIDAL INFORMATION...
PSTL1 0.59 FT (00.07 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; STEADY)
               PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 0.85 FT AT 9AM CDT 
WYCM6 0.15 FT (-0.25 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; RISING)
               PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 0.66 FT AT 1PM CDT

RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...SAT MAY 8TH
    LO    6 30 AM    STAGE    0.6    HI    2 24 PM    STAGE    0.9
    LO   10 24 PM    STAGE    0.6
RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...SUN MAY 9TH
    HI   12 56 PM    STAGE    1.2    LO   10 48 PM    STAGE    0.2

BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 78F


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........90  90  80  80  80  80  70  60  50  40  37  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH 
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM 
TEMP............74  76  78  78  78  78  78  79  79  79  78  
RH..............95  88  83  78  76  74  74  71  68  68  67  
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  15  15  15  15  12  12  12  9   9   
TRANS SPD (M/S).6   6   7   7   7   7   5   5   5   4   4   
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  
CEILINGS........O20.....B25...............................  
SEAS............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   
SEA STATE.......CHOPPY....................................  

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
SKY (%).........37     40     47     47     42     43     
WEATHER COV.....S CHC                                     
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............78     75     73     72     70     69     
RH..............67     71     75     73     73     75     
20 FT WIND......N 7    N 9    N 11   NE 13  NE 14  NE 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     25     30     30     
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1500   1600   1600   1600   1600   
MIX HGT (M).....210    460    490    490    490    490    
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9    N 8    N 9    N 9    N 18   NE 24  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     0      0      0      0      0      
SEAS............2      4      4      4      5      5      
SEA STATE.......CHOPPY......................ROUGH.......      

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
SKY (%).........43     42     36     36     38     17     
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TEMP............68     70     74     76     77     77     
RH..............73     65     55     52     48     47     
20 FT WIND......NE 14  NE 14  NE 14  E 13   E 12   E 11   
20 FT WIND GUST.30     30     25     25     25     25     
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1400   1400   1400   1500   1400   
MIX HGT (M).....490    430    430    430    460    430    
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 24  NE 23  E 22   E 22   E 17   E 16   
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     10     
SEAS............5      4      4      4      4      4      
SEA STATE.......ROUGH..................................    

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100508.DEEPW.03/LIX