914 
FNUS73 KMPX 031205
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURTLE CREEK LOST LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
705 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 03. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHWEST ONTARIO WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BUILDING TOWARD MINNESOTA.
THIS COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE BRISK WEST WINDS TODAY. COLD AIR IN
THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LINGER IN THE WAKE OF
THE LOW...RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN AFTERNOON SHOWER.
AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REACHES MINNESOTA...WINDS WILL TAPER
OFF THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. 
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 
                    WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5100-32500) INCREASING TO 
                    EXCELLENT (186000-230400). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-10300 FT 
                    AGL. 
MIXING WINDS........WEST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 31 MPH IN 
                    THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC         
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   
TEMP............48     55     60     62     63     61     
RH..............63     49     41     38     36     41     
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 12   W 12   W 12   W 10   W 4    
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     15     5      
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4      

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. 
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY 
                    IN THE MORNING. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (207600) DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD 
                    (1100-35000). 
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. 
MIXING WINDS........WEST 22 TO 29 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH 
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. 

$$
FORECASTER...KRAUSE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100503.TURTL.01/MPX