AFOS product AFDTFX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDTFX
Product Timestamp: 2010-04-04 23:05 UTC

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FXUS65 KTFX 042301
AFDTFX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
505 PM MDT SUN APR 4 2010

.DISCUSSION...
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...QUIET WEATHER PATTERN SETTING UP OVER THE
NORTH CENTRAL AND HIGH CENTRAL PLAINS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
SOUTHWEST MONTANA WILL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY
NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA AND INTO WYOMING. SNOW TOTALS FROM THIS SYSTEM COULD BE
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVEL CRITERIA IF THE CURRENT FORECAST MODELS
CONTINUE TO KEEP THE SAME AMOUNT OF MOISTURE EFFICIENCY OF THE
SYSTEM. SOME HESITATION IN THE MODELS CONCEPT OF THIS NEXT WEATHER
MAKER THOUGH DUE TO THE FACT THAT EACH SUCCESSIVE RUN CONTINUES TO
DELAY THE ONSET OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HIGHLITES
DUE TO THE LACK OF CONFIDENCE IN TIMING...LOCATION...AND
INTENSITY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM FOR ANY CHANGES. SUK

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER TO RESIDE OVER 
THE REGION FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH THE BEST 
CHANCES FOR ANY PRECIP MAINLY CONFINED TO THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT 
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST MONTANA. NO REAL WIDESPREAD PRECIP IS 
EXPECT WED THRU FRI...BUT A FEW SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS 
CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...AS 
THE AIRMASS BECOMES SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 
SEASONABLE...BUT THURSDAY WILL BE A BIT WARMER THAN AVERAGE...WITH 
MOST LOCATIONS RUNNING CLOSE TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. FOR THE 
WEEKEND...LATEST MODELS ARE TRENDING A BIT DRIER AND MILDER. THUS 
POPS HAVE BEEN REDUCED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH WHERE IT SHOULD 
REMAIN DRY...BUT A SCATTERED SHOWER OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA CAN NOT 
BE RULED OUT. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN CLOSE TO NORMAL 
OVER THE REGION FOR THE UP COMING WEEKEND. BRUSDA

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 2305Z.
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. MONDAY AFTERNOON SNOW 
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND EXPECT SOME 
MOUNTAIN OBSCUREMENT. COULD SEE SOME SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF KBZN 
AND KHLN AFTER 21Z. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FAIRLY RAPIDLY THIS EVENING 
WITH WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE IN DIRECTION WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY NEAR 
OR BELOW 5 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CONFIDENCE IN WIND SPEEDS AND 
DIRECTIONS OVER THE PLAINS IS ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. 
BLANK 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  50  25  54  30 /  10  10  10  30 
CTB  48  20  52  28 /  10   0  10  30 
HLN  48  27  53  32 /  10  10  30  60 
BZN  46  23  51  28 /  20  10  30  70 
WEY  34  16  38  20 /  40  40  70  90 
DLN  43  23  46  25 /  20  10  50  80 
HVR  53  20  58  26 /  10   0  10  10 
LWT  47  24  50  28 /  10   0  20  30 

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SUK
LONG TERM...BRUSDA
AVIATION...ZELZER

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS