304 
FNUS73 KPAH 281411
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 26...DOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
811 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 28. 

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN
MAINLY IN THE 30S...DESPITE CLOUDS GIVING WAY TO SOME SUNSHINE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GIVE WAY TO A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. THIS STORM WILL
RESULT IN SNOW EXPANDING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT
TIMES ALONG AND SOUTH OF A CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO MADISONVILLE
KENTUCKY LINE. NORTH OF THAT LINE...SNOW WILL BE LIGHTER. BY THE
TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF FRIDAY NIGHT...AMOUNTS WILL VARY FROM AN
INCH ALONG THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHWEST INDIANA...TO AROUND 8 INCHES CLOSE TO THE ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE
STATE LINES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). 
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 40. 
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 
                    NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2300-3000 
                    FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 12 
                    TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY 
WEATHER COV.....                            
WEATHER TYPE....                            
TEMP............38  38  38  38  39  38  36  
RH..............56  57  54  53  51  52  54  
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   6   6   6   6   
20 FT WIND GUST.                        10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  15  14  13  12  12  14  
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY AFTER 
                    MIDNIGHT. 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23. 
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. 
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 65 PERCENT AFTER 
                    MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. 

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY 
WEATHER COV.....                     LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY 
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   
TEMP............34     31     29     27     25     24     
RH..............59     64     68     73     80     85     
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 7    N 7    N 8    NE 8   NE 9   
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15     
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   2200   1900   1800   1700   1900   
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15  NE 18  NE 20  NE 20  NE 17  NE 16  
CWR.............0      0      0      70     70     70     
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4      

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW. 
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 29. 
RH..................MIN 77 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. 
CWR.................94 PERCENT. 
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR 
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2300 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH 
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 21 
                    TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
SKY (%).........CLOUDY    CLOUDY    CLOUDY    CLOUDY    
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW      SNOW      SNOW      SNOW      
TEMP............23        25        27        28        
RH..............86        85        77        77        
20 FT WIND......NE 9G20   NE 9G20   NE 9G20   NE 9G20   
MIX HGT (FT)....2200      1700      2200      2100      
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 18     E 21      E 10      E 18      
CWR.............90        90        90        90        
HAINES INDEX....4         4         2         2         

$$
FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100128.TA26_.01/PAH