National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDFWD
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDFWD
Product Timestamp: 2008-05-08 08:38 UTC
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000 FXUS64 KFWD 080844 CCA AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED POINT TEMPS/POPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 338 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2008 .DISCUSSION... A PERIOD OF TRANQUIL WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR NORTH TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME CLOUDINESS OVER THE NORTH THIS MORNING...THEN OVER THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES RETURN TO NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS. A DRY WEAK FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE CWA FRIDAY... THUS MOS MAX TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN UNDERCUT A LITTLE. WARMER SATURDAY UNDER NEAR ZONAL FLOW AND RISING PARTIAL THICKNESSES. UPPER TROUGH PASSES BY TO THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND HAVE CONTINUED TO CARRY LOW POPS OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT SLIDES SOUTH. SUNDAY LOOKS QUITE COOL BEHIND A COLD FRONT DUE TO DEEP CAA UP TO 8000 FEET AND PARTIAL THICKNESSES FALL INTO THE 1360-1380 RANGE. .LONG RANGE... UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THEN SLIDES EAST AS THE NEXT LONG-WAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO OR ACROSS THE ROCKIES. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE OF THE LONG RANGE MODELS NEXT WEEK. THE GFS MOVES SHORTWAVE ENERGY INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY MONDAY AND DROPS IT SOUTHEAST INTO NEW MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF KEEPS THE SHORTWAVE PROGRESSIVE AND AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES AND DEVELOPS A DEEP CLOSED LOW OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES THAT OCCUPIES THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY MID TO LATE WEEK. BOTH DEVELOP LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS NEXT WEEK WITH THE ECMWF PROVIDING A FASTER EJECTION ACROSS OKLAHOMA TUESDAY. BECAUSE OF THIS LOW AND SURFACE FRONT...HAVE ADDED LOW CHANCE POPS TO THE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME PERIOD AS A HEDGE TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION. HOWEVER...NEITHER MODEL HAS CHANGED ITS SOLUTION MUCH OVER THE PAST THREE RUNS. 75 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 83 65 87 68 91 / 0 0 10 10 10 WACO, TX 88 65 89 69 93 / 0 0 5 5 5 PARIS, TX 80 60 83 62 85 / 0 10 10 10 10 DENTON, TX 82 62 84 64 89 / 0 0 10 10 10 MCKINNEY, TX 82 63 83 63 88 / 0 0 10 10 10 DALLAS, TX 83 67 87 70 91 / 0 0 10 10 10 TERRELL, TX 83 64 84 67 89 / 0 0 10 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 87 65 87 67 91 / 0 0 5 5 10 TEMPLE, TX 90 65 90 68 92 / 0 0 5 5 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ 58/75