AFOS product AFDMPX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDMPX
Product Timestamp: 2008-02-25 21:34 UTC

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FXUS63 KMPX 252134
AFDMPX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
334 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER MO THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL BE
HEADING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...HIGH
PRESSURE OVER MT WILL BUILD SE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. FOR US...
THIS WILL BRING COLDER AIR ON NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH TUESDAY.
CLEARING OCCURRED TODAY FROM ST CLOUD TO LADYSMITH ON SOUTH
THROUGH THE TWIN CITIES AND EAU CLAIRE. HOWEVER...A BAND OF LOW
CLOUDS STRETCHES FROM MOOSE LAKE TO ALEXANDRIA AT MID AFTERNOON
AND IS SINKING SLOWLY SOUTH. SOME DISSIPATION EXPECTED WITH THIS
CLOUD BAND WITH CLEAR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY OVER FAR NORTHERN MN.
INDICATED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE SOUTH. SOME
FLURRIES OR SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS STEEP LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES DEVELOP AS THE COLD POCKET PASSES OVERHEAD. THE
NEXT REAL WEATHER MAKER IS A WAVE MOVING BY IN NORTHWEST FLOW
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. PRETTY GOOD CONTINUITY EXISTS WITH
THIS SYSTEM BUT THE ACTUAL SURFACE LOW WILL PROBABLY PASS ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF MN AND WI. AS A RESULT...THIS WILL BE
A WAA EVENT. SOME SLOWING SEEN IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS TODAY AND
INDICATED SOME TIMING TO THE SNOW WITH LIKELY POPS FOR EASTERN MN
AND WEST CENTRAL WI THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AT THIS POINT IN
TIME A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AIR FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT OF
PACIFIC ORIGIN MOVING ACROSS THE FA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A RATHER
DRAMATIC WARM UP FORECAST ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 40 ACROSS THE
CWA. THIS LOOKS TO BE A RAIN/SNOW SITUATION WITH PERHAPS JUST
PLAIN OLD RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN CWA.
THE WARMTH IS SHORT LIVED AS COLDER AIR AND NORTHWEST WINDS PICK
UP ON THE BACK SIDE SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM ON MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION... /18Z TAF ISSUANCE/ 
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE OVER THE TAF SITES DURING THE 
PERIOD. STRATUS AND FOG WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF THE WEAK TROUGH AXIS 
OVER NORTHWEST WISCONSIN INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MN THROUGH EARLY 
AFTERNOON. LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH VSBL SLOWLY 
LIFTING TO MVFR THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. 
CEILINGS LIFTING TO MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT.  DRY LOW LEVEL 
AIRFLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST DURG 
THE PERIOD.  SFC LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTRY PRECIP...CONTINUE TO 
DRIFT FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS THINKING. SOME LIGHT SNOW 
DEVELOPING OVR THE TAF SITES...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 
CORRIDOR. 



&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

$$

RAH/JVM