000 
FXUS62 KMLB 301532
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUL 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...USAF WIND PROFILERS REVEAL SW 10 KT BOUNDARY LAYER 
FLOW WITH W/SW 15 KT FLOW ALOFT. SCATTERED SHOWERS PREVALENT AT LATE 
MORNING ACROSS WESTERN PENINSULA AND ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN 
COVERAGE/INTENSITY WHILE SPREADING INTO INTERIOR CWA THROUGH EARLY 
AFTERNOON AND TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES MID/LATE AFTERNOON. SEA BREEZE 
FORMATION LIKELY TO BE RESTRICTED EXCEPT PERHAPS FOR WEAK 
DEVELOPMENT OR BACKING WINDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SOUTH OF 
MELBOURNE OR VERO BEACH...WHERE ANY SUCH BOUNDARY WOULD REMAIN 
PINNED. STORMS APPROACHING SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY FROM THE WEST MAY 
BECOME LOCALLY ENHANCED AND A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND 
GUSTS THE PRIMARY THREAT. SLOWING OF STORMS ALONG SOUTHEAST COAST 
MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS AROUND 2 INCHES. NO 
UPDATES TO ZFP REQUIRED. 

&&

.AVIATION...WENT WITH A LITTLE EARLIER START TIMES/LESSER (2HR 
DURATIONS FOR TSRA TODAY. 16Z/17Z OVER THE WRN AERODROMES...AND 
19Z/20Z ALONG THE EAST COAST.

&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE FLOW A LITTLE STRONGER THAN SUNDAY EXPECTED TO 
RESTRICT SEA BREEZE FORMATION...EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS NEAR SHORE SOUTH 
OF MELBOURNE OR VERO BEACH. WINDS MAY WEAKEN OR BACK SLIGHTLY NEAR 
SHORE SOUTH OF THE CAPE EARLY AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD AGAIN BECOME SW 
AS SHOWERS/STORMS SPREAD OFFSHORE. SCATTERED-LOCALLY NUMEROUS 
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL SPREAD OFFSHORE AT 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 
EARLY EVENING. SEAS 1-2 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 2-3 FEET OFFSHORE EXCEPT 
LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR STORMS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SPRATT
LONG TERM....HAGEMEYER