000 
FXUS62 KILM 230149
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
949 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006

.SHORT TERM (OVERNIGHT)...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF 
THE CWA WITH PLENTY OF ACTIVITY OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF THE AREA. 
SHORT WAVE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND 
COULD ENHANCE ANY ONGOING ACTIVITY. WENT AHEAD AND INCREASED POPS TO 
LIKELY/CATEGORICAL ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN AREAS WITH HIGH CHANCE EAST 
AND NORTH. PRECIP CHANCES WILL START TO DIMINISH LATE AS WAVE MOVES 
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HAVE ALSO TWEAKED OVERNIGHT LOWS AND DEWPOINTS 
BUT ALL OTHER CHANGES TO GRIDS/FORECAST WERE MINIMAL.


&&

.AVIATION...
SHRA WILL MOVE OUT OF THE FLO AREA BY ABOUT 03Z.  GUSTY WINDS WILL 
SETTLE DOWN TO ABOUT 10 KTS OR LESS BY 02Z AT ALL TERMINALS.  
OVERNITE HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO BR FOR FLO.  ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND 
LIGHTER WINDS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT CONDITIONS FOR BR.  BKN025 
CEILINGS AT FLO AND MYR WILL GIVE WAY TO VFR CEILINGS BY 04Z.  OTHER 
SITES SHOULD REMAIN AT VFR THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  WINDS WILL BE 
S TO SW TOMORROW THROUGH THE DAY WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 10 KTS OR 
LESS.  BKN SKY COVER WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE 24 HR FORECAST 
PERIOD.  THERE ARE NO OTHER FORECAST CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. 

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE BEEN MEASURING AROUND 20 KT ALL EVE AT THE BEACHES AND 
THE BUOYS. EXPECT NOCTURNAL JET WILL AGAIN KICK IN OVERNIGHT AND SO 
WILL BUMP WINDS UP TO 20 KT AND HEADLINE EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT. 
SEAS ARE IN THE 4 TO 5 FT RANGE...EXCEPT 3 FT NEAR SHORE THIS EVE. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN SEA HEIGHTS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...III
AVIATION...JAN
MARINE...RJD