AFOS product FWFPSR
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Product Timestamp: 2005-10-17 22:43 UTC

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FNUS55 KPSR 172243
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
343 PM MST MON OCT 17 2005

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BEGIN 
TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT. AS THE CENTER OF THE LOW 
MOVES CLOSER TO ARIZONA...MORE SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP...AND SOME MAY 
CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT. THE CENTER OF THE LOW WILL 
ACCELERATE ACROSS THE STATE ON TUESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY THERE 
WILL BE A CLEARING TREND THAT WILL SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST. DRY AND 
WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

AZZ132-181315-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
343 PM MST MON OCT 17 2005

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-70. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................70-81 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 50 TO 60 MPH. 
LAL.............................5. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                MORNING...WITH SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE 
                                AFTERNOON. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................72-79. 
   24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................37-44 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 30 TO 
                                40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
LAL.............................5. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT. 
MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9500 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................70 PERCENT WEST PORTION...80 
                                PERCENT EAST PORTION. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                                AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................53-63. 
   24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................62-77 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH 
                                AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT WEST PORTION...40 
                                PERCENT EAST PORTION. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY IN 
                                THE AFTERNOON. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-83. 
   24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................23-31 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                                DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR. 
MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......6600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 5 KNOTS. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 81-85. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 84-88. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 85-89. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 85-89. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 85-89. 

$$

AZZ133-181315-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
343 PM MST MON OCT 17 2005

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                                AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................49-64. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................70-93 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................24 PCT WETTER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 40 TO 50 
                                MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 5 AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-73. 
   24 HR TREND..................13 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................44-60 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................23 PCT WETTER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 40 TO 50 MPH. 
LAL.............................5. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY 
                                AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING CHANCE OF 
                                SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................40-57. 
   24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................67-100 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 25 
                                MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.............................5 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................70 PERCENT. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................62-77. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................28-41 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................17 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-54. HIGHS 70-80. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42-56. HIGHS 73-83. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-56. HIGHS 74-84. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-56. HIGHS 74-84. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 44-56. HIGHS 74-84. 

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-181315-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
343 PM PDT MON OCT 17 2005 /343 PM MST MON OCT 17 2005/

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-66. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................70-75 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING 40 TO 50 MPH 
                                AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.............................5. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN 
                                THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF 
                                SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                AFTERNOON. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-80. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................37-42 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 
                                30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
LAL.............................5 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN 
                                THE AFTERNOON. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT. 
MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10000 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........WEST 10 KNOTS. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                EVENING. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................56-61. 
   24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................64-74 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH. 
LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-84. 
   24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................23-28 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................15 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                                DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR. 
MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6600 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 5 KNOTS. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-64. HIGHS 83-88. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 86-91. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-66. HIGHS 87-92. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-66. HIGHS 87-92. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-66. HIGHS 87-92. 

$$

CAZ230-181315-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
343 PM PDT MON OCT 17 2005

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-56. 
   24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................77-89 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING 20 TO 30 MPH 
                                AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.............................5. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN 
                                THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                                AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................65-76. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................36-45 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE 
                                AFTERNOON. 
LAL.............................3. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................41-54. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................64-89 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................72-79. 
   24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................24-31 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-52. HIGHS 75-80. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-54. HIGHS 78-83. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-54. HIGHS 79-84. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-54. HIGHS 79-84. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 43-54. HIGHS 79-84. 

$$

CAZ232-181315-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
343 PM PDT MON OCT 17 2005

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SHOWERS AND 
                                THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................55-63. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................72-83 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................18 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER 
                                MIDNIGHT. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE 
                                EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 30 TO 40 
                                MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.............................5. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN 
                                THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                                AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................74-79. 
   24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................34-41 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
LAL.............................3. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.................52-57. 
   24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY....................64-77 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.................77-83. 
   24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY....................23-28 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER. 
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
LAL.............................1. 
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                                DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-61. HIGHS 80-88. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-63. HIGHS 83-91. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-63. HIGHS 84-92. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-63. HIGHS 84-92. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 54-63. HIGHS 84-92. 

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...TUESDAY OCTOBER 25TH THROUGH THURSDAY OCTOBER 
27TH...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.

MEYERS