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FXHW60 PHFO 050130
AFDHFO

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST WED MAY 4 2005

.SYNOPSIS...
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE MOST AREAS TONIGHT...LEADING 
TO CLEARING SKIES. LIGHT TRADE WINDS WILL SLOWLY RETURN ON 
THURSDAY...AND MODERATE TRADES WILL BUILD BY FRIDAY. THE LIGHT 
TRADE WINDS WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES TO PRODUCE UPSLOPE 
CLOUDS ON THURSDAY...BUT LITTLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THE RELATIVELY 
DRY TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR KAUAI THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE 
SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS 
IS REPLACED BY A WEAK HIGH. THE FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE IS CURRENTLY 
PRODUCING LIGHT EAST WINDS NEAR THE MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...AND 
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR THE OTHER ISLANDS. AS THE RIDGE MOVES 
SLOWLY NORTH...WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY STATE-WIDE ON THURSDAY...
BUT SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO ONCE AGAIN ALLOW AFTERNOON 
SEA BREEZES TO DEVELOP OVER MOST AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS. LIKE 
TODAY...EXPECT THIS TO RESULT IN SOME AFTERNOON UPSLOPE CLOUDINESS...
BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. LAND BREEZES MAY ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP LATE 
THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT TRADES WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH BY FRIDAY TO 
OVERRIDE LOCAL LAND AND SEA BREEZES EXCEPT IN SHELTERED LEE AREAS. 

THE RETURN OF MODERATE TRADES WILL HELP TO MAKE IT FEEL A LITTLE 
MORE COMFORTABLE...BUT DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 
60/S...AND THERE WILL BE AMPLE SUNSHINE...SO WARM TEMPERATURES 
WILL CONTINUE. DRY TRADE WIND WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST 
PART OF THE WEEKEND...AS MID LEVEL RIDGING PREVAILS OVER THE STATE. 
THE MID LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN LATER THIS WEEKEND...WHICH 
WILL ALLOW A FEW MORE TRADE SHOWERS TO DEVELOP...BUT RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MINIMAL. LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE THAT 
MODERATE TRADES AND RATHER STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 
NEXT WEEK...WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED RAINFALL. 

&&

.MARINE...
SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES WILL BE AT OR ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS 
THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH THE SURF PEAKING ON THURSDAY AND DIMINISHING 
SLOWLY ON FRIDAY.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES ALL ISLANDS.

&&

$$

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