000 
FNUS75 KBOU 161621
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASPEN MEADOWS #2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER-BOULDER CO
921 AM MST WED MAR 16 2005

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASPEN MEADOWS #2  PILES  USFS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
920 AM MST WED MAR 16 2005

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS.

...WINDS TO INCREASE TONIGHT...

SYNOPSIS...WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL INCREASE TODAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE AREA.  AS A RESULT...TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE.  THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME UNSTABLE
THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION.
ALTHOUGH THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME STABLE THIS EVENING WITH
LOWERING MIXING HEIGHTS...TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE
STRONG...WITH GOOD DISPERSION CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.  THE WINDS
WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY...BEFORE
DECREASING DURING THE EVENING.  MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING
BY AFTERNOON.

EXTENDED SYNOPSIS...THE SYSTEM WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH LESS WIND.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-6 MPH BECOMING WEST 8-12 MPH
                    BY 1030.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030 THEN FAIR. GOOD BY 1200.
                    VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1330.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FEET AGL...INCREASING TO 8500 FEET AGL BY
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 30 MPH BY 1300.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FEET AGL...LOWERING TO 2000 FEET AGL BY
                    2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FEET AGL...INCREASING TO 8000 FEET AGL
                    BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 MPH
                    BY 1200.

.FRIDAY...ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.

$$
030

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REQUESTED BY...SHELLI MAVOR
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, USFWS, BIA).