000 
FXUS64 KLZK 090953
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 AM CST WED FEB 9 2005

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY
RAIN MOVING INTO EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA AT ISSUE TIME. AREAS OF 
FOG HAVE DEVELOPED BUT VISIBILITIES VARYING QUITE A BIT WITH ONLY 
PATCHY AND BRIEF 1/4 MILES BEING REPORTED. WILL NOT ISSUE DENSE FOG 
ADVISORY AT THIS TIME BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 
OF HOURS. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS 
MORNING WHICH MAY REDUCE THE FOG OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS 
SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE MORNING AS WELL. LOW OVERCAST STILL 
CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA SO AM A LITTLE HESITANT ABOUT 
CLEARING SKIES TOO MUCH TODAY. WILL GO THE PESSIMISTIC ROUTE AND 
KEEP MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN FOR MOST OF THE DAY BUT CLOUDS MAY 
DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET. TEMPS SHOULD NOT RISE MUCH TODAY AND 
FORECAST MAXES ONLY A FEW DEGREES ABOVE THE PRESENT READINGS. 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS 
SHOULD PRODUCE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FOR THURSDAY AND MOSTLY CLEAR 
SKIES FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT. MINS EACH NIGHT SHOULD BE A 
LITTLE BELOW FREEZING IN MOST AREAS AND MAXES THURSDAY SHOULD RANGE 
IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S WITH FRIDAY A LITTLE WARMER WITH WEST 
WINDS MOVING IN. NEXT UPPER TROF IS BEING SLOWED DOWN A 
LITTLE...ENOUGH TO DROP ALL POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS WILL 
LIKELY INCREASE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM BUT 
HELD OFF MENTION OF RAIN UNTIL SATURDAY. CLOUDS AND RAIN SATURDAY 
SHOULD HOLD MAXES DOWN. 
&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT ALLOWING LOW 
PRESSURE TO BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. ZONAL FLOW WILL 
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO 
SUNDAY MORNING AS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO THE 
AREA AGAIN. UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND 
MONDAY THIS WILL KEEP PRECIP IN THE FORECAST THROUGH LATE SUNDAY 
NIGHT. 

HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY. AN ARCTIC FRONT IS THEN READY TO MOVE SOUTH INTO THE STATE 
LATE TUESDAY. THIS COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE NORTHERN 
COUNTIES BUT WILL HOLD OFF PUTTING IT IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO FREEZING NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER 
TUESDAY NIGHT SO SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL NEED TO BE CONSIDERED WITH THE 
NEXT PACKAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH 
TUESDAY DURING THE DAY. 
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK AR    52  30  52  28 /  10  10   0   0 
HARRISON AR       40  25  45  25 /  10  10   0   0 
HOT SPRINGS AR    52  30  55  28 /  10  10   0   0 
PINE BLUFF AR     53  31  53  29 /  20  10   0   0 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  40  24  44  25 /  10  10   0   0 
MONTICELLO AR     54  33  54  29 /  20  10   0   0 
SEARCY AR         49  28  50  28 /  20  10   0   0 
MOUNT IDA AR      51  30  54  28 /  10  10   0   0 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   47  28  52  27 /  10  10   0   0 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

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