000 
FXUS66 KLOX 130957
AFDLOX
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
230 AM PDT TUE JUL 13 2004

.SHORT TERM...
WITH ALL PARAMETERS VERY SIMILAR TO YDY EXPECT A REPEAT OF YDYS WX
TODAY. THERE IS PERHAPS A LITTLE MORE CLOUDINESS ALONG THE CENTRAL
COAST AND A LITTLE LESS NEAR L.A. COUNTY BUT NOT ENOUGH OF A
DIFFERENCE TO CHANGE THE FORECAST.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE MUCH LIKE TODAY EXCEPT THAT A LITTLE BIT OF
MOISTURE MIGHT MAKE IT INTO THE EASTERN MTNS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY IT IS
UNLIKELY THAT THIS MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE CONVECTION BUT THERE MIGHT BE
A ROUGE SHORT WAVE OUT THERE SO WENT ALONG WITH OTHER OFFICES AND PUT
SLGT CHC IN.

THURSDAY IS THE MOST LIKELY DAY FOR CONVECTION AS AN EASTERLY WAVE
PROGRESSES BY TO THE SOUTH. THE MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM
ARE MOST WORRISOME FOR THE AREA SOUTH OF THE LOX CWA BUT SLGT CHC OR
CHC SEEMS GOOD FOR THE DAY. WE CAN REFINE THIS AS THE FEATURES BEGING
TO SHOW UP ON SAT AND THE WSETA GETS ITS TEETH INTO THE SOLN.

.LONG TERM 
NEW GFS INDICATES A RETURN TO NORMALS FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH DRY
SW FLOW ALOFT WK TO MDT ONSHORE FLOW AND 588 HGTS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A
DECENT MARINE LAYER TO FORM BUT WITH HGTS HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP IT OUT
OF THE VLYS.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX).

&&

$$

THOMPSON/SWEET