National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDPSR
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTC Found 2 products at the given pil and timestamp. Scroll down to see them all.
Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDPSR
Product Timestamp: 2004-04-01 04:10 UTC
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000 FXUS65 KPSR 010411 AFDPSR AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-011045- AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 910 PM MST WED MAR 31 2004 SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION .SYNOPSIS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BY THAT TIME ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH- CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA. THERE WILL BE INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARIZONA...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY... WITH SMALLER CHANCES CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP WELL BELOW NORMAL ON FRIDAY...BEFORE RECOVERING TO NEAR NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION... CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF NORTHERN COAST OF BAJA HAS BROUGHT MOISTURE FROM MEXICO NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DECREASING SINCE SUNSET AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NIGHT. BUT THEY MAY NOT TOTAL DIMINISH DURING THE NIGHT AS SOME DYNAMICS...ALTHOUGH WEAK...IS INDICATED TO REMAIN OVER THIS AREA OVER NIGHT. SE CA SW AZ JUST UNDER SOME MID/HI LEVEL CLOUDINESS WHICH SHOULD SHOW A LITTLE DECREASE DURING THE REST OF TONIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER LOW TO MOVE SOUTH ALONG THE BAJA COAST THURS BEFORE TURNING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL BAJA THURS NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP A MOISTURE FETCH...WITH MOISTURE INCREASING IN THE LOWER LEVELS TOO...FLOWING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ INTO AT LEAST SAT. THIS MOISTURE WILL ALSO SPREAD WESTWARD TOO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE BAJA LOW WILL ALSO KEEP SOME DYNAMICS OVER THE AREA RESULTING IN A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AZ THURS/THURS NIGHT. IN ADDITION...A TROF WILL BE COMING DOWN FROM THE NORTH AND DIPPING INTO AZ BY THURS NIGHT. THIS WILL KICK THE BAJA UPPER LOW EASTWARD INTO TX BY FRI NIGHT. THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OF THE NORTHERN TROF WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL CA BY FRI AND A STRONG VORT LOBE ROTATING AROUND IT WILL MOVE INTO SE CA SW AND SOUTH CENTRAL AZ FRI. THIS STRONG DYNAMICS WILL ACT UPON THE MOIST AIRMASS RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION ON FRI. PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS WILL BE HIGHEST OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AZ WITH LESSER CHANCES IN SW AZ AND SE CA. TEMPS WILL ALSO BE COOLING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS THESE SYSTEMS AFFECT US DUE TO THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND OFF COURSE THE LOWER HEIGHTS OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ITSELF. WHEREAS AS THE SHOWERS TONIGHT PRODUCED MORE WIND THAN RAIN...THE CONTINUED INCREASE IN MOISTURE ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS THURS INTO FRI AND THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING INTO THE REGION ON FRI...WILL RESULT IN THESE SHOWERS PRODUCING MORE RAIN ON FRI. && .PSR...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AZ...NONE. CA...NONE. && $$ DKS
000 FXUS65 KPSR 010409 AFDPSR AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-011045- AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 910 PM MST WED MAR 31 2004 SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION .SYNOPSIS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BY THAT TIME ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A COOLING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH- CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA. THERE WILL BE INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARIZONA...ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY... WITH SMALLER CHANCES CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP WELL BELOW NORMAL ON FRIDAY...BEFORE RECOVERING TO NEAR NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION... CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF NORTHERN COAST OF BAJA HAS BROUGHT MOISTURE FROM MEXICO NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DECREASING SINCE SUNSET AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NIGHT. BUT THEY MAY NOT TOTAL DIMINISH DURING THE NIGHT AS SOME DYNAMICS...ALTHOUGH WEAK...IS INDICATED TO REMAIN OVER THIS AREA OVER NIGHT. SE CA SW AZ JUST UNDER SOME MID/HI LEVEL CLOUDINESS WHICH SHOULD SHOW A LITTLE DECREASE DURING THE REST OF TONIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER LOW TO MOVE SOUTH ALONG THE BAJA COAST THURS BEFORE TURNING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL BAJA THURS NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP A MOISTURE FETCH...WITH MOISTURE INCREASING IN THE LOWER LEVELS TOO...FLOWING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ INTO AT LEAST SAT. THIS MOISTURE WILL ALSO SPREAD WESTWARD TOO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE BAJA LOW WILL ALSO KEEP SOME DYNAMICS OVER THE AREA RESULTING IN A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AZ THURS/THURS NIGHT. IN ADDITION..A TROF WILL BE COMING DOWN FROM THE NORTH AND DIPPING INTO AZ BY THURS NIGHT. THIS WILL KICK THE BAJA UPPER LOW EASTWARD INTO TX BY FRI NIGHT. THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OF THE NORTHERN TROF WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL CA BY FRI AND A STRONG VORT LOBE ROTATING AROUND IT WILL MOVE INTO SE CA SW AND SOUTH CENTRAL AZ FRI. THIS STRONG DYNAMICS WILL ACT UPON THE MOIST AIRMASS RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION ON FRI. PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS WILL BE HIGHEST OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AZ WITH LESSER CHANCES IN SW AZ AND SE CA. TEMPS WILL ALSO BE COOLING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS THESE SYSTEMS AFFECT US DUE TO THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS...SHOWERS...AND OFF COURSE THE LOWER HEIGHTS OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ITSELF. WHEREAS AS THE SHOWERS TONIGHT PRODUCED MORE WIND THAN RAIN...THE CONTINUED INCREASE IN MOISTURE ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER LEVELS THURS INTO FRI AND THE STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING INTO THE REGION ON FRI...WILL RESULT IN THESE SHOWERS PRODUCING MORE RAIN ON FRI. && .PSR...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AZ...NONE. CA...NONE. && $$ DKS