490 
FXUS62 KILM 080829
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
328 AM EST THU JAN 8 2004

.DISCUSSION...
A GOOD DEAL OF THICK HIGH CLOUDINESS STREAMING INTO THE REGION AND 
THIS SHOULD HELP BLOT OUT THE SUN. CLOUDS SHOULD THICKEN FURTHER AS 
CEILINGS GRADUALLY LOWER. SO...TEMPS WILL BE HELD DOWN TO READINGS 
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...PERHAPS 2 TO 3 DEG WARMER AS COLD AIR 
ADVECTION HAS WANED.

CLIPPER-LIKE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA ON FRI 
AND THEN OFF THE COAST BY FRI NIGHT. WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF 
THE NE GULF OF MEXICO WILL JUMP/REFORM NEAR THE GULF STREAM E OF 
SOUTH CAROLINA AND THEN MOVE NE...WELL E OF THE AREA. CONSEQUENTLY 
EXPANDING PRECIPITATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF DEEPENING LOW 
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.

VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION EVENT (ON THE ORDER OF .05 OR LESS) 
EXPECTED BEGINNING ON FRI. REMOVED POPS FOR THU NIGHT...LOW LEVELS 
JUST TOO DRY. PRECIPITATION SHOULD START OUT AS LIQUID OR A 
LIQUID/FROZEN MIX. CHANGEOVER TO ALL FROZEN SHOULD OCCUR FROM NW TO 
SE AS THICKNESSES LOWER THROUGHOUT FRI. WENT WITH ALL FROZEN FRI 
NIGHT AND INTO SAT FOR COASTAL NC.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NW DURING SAT AND BE 
CENTERED OVERHEAD SUN BEFORE SETTLING S OF THE AREA SUN NIGHT AND 
MON. 

A TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE W ON MON AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA 
MON NIGHT. NICE WARM UP ON SW FLOW AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...BUT 
MOISTURE MEAGER AS GULF DOES NOT GET TAPPED AND DYNAMICS PASS WELL N 
OF THE AREA.

BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY...HEIGHTS ONLY FALL SLIGHTLY AND SO NO BIG COOL 
DOWN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
10 KT WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE REGION. LOW PRESSURE FORMING IN 
THE GULF WILL TRANSFER ITS ENERGY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE 
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FRIDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL 
GRADUALLY INCREASE AS CAA DEVELOPS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS 
INTENSIFYING OCEAN STORM SYSTEM. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY REACH AT LEAST 
25 KT...AND POSSIBLY 30 KT ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS SATURDAY AS 
THE GRADIENT IS TIGHTEST AND THE GREATEST PRESSURE RISES ARE 
OCCURRING. HAVE FOLLOWED WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE FOR SEAS WHICH WAS VERY 
SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE 
AREA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL GIVE WAY TO A FAST 
DEVELOPING SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE ON 
MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WILMINGTON     45  31  42  29 /   0  10  40  40
FLORENCE       46  32  42  28 /   0  10  40  30
LUMBERTON      44  30  40  28 /   0  10  40  30
MYRTLE BEACH   46  33  43  29 /   0  10  40  40

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC: DIGIORGI
MARINE: TRA