National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDTUL
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDTUL
Product Timestamp: 2003-11-03 16:15 UTC
Bulk Download
Bulk Download
Bulk Download Help
This bulk download tool provides the NWS text
in a raw form, hopefully directly usable by your processing system.
You can either provide a complete 6-character PIL/AFOS ID or provide
the 3-character base ID (e.g., AFD
). The start and end
dates represent 00 UTC for those dates. The Zip format is useful as
the filenames will have the product timestamp, which is useful for
when the product format has ambiguous timestamps.
000 FXUS64 KTSA 031621 AFDTUL EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 1015 AM CST MON NOV 3 2003 DISC... FEWER CLOUDS THAN YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME AND SLIGHTLY WARMER 1000-925 THICKNESS. AT 10 AM TEMPS IN MID 70S MOST LOCATIONS. WILL BUMP / BOOST / JACK /INCREMENT (PICK YOUR FAVORITE TERM) MAX TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES. THAT PUTS FSM RIGHT AT RECORD LEVEL 84 DEGREES (1916). ETA HAS BEEN PLAYING CATCH UP WITH GFS FRONT POSITION FOR TUESDAY. LATEST 12Z ETA IN SYNC POP RAISED FOR TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT PERIODS. GW ============================================ PREV DISC... STRONG COLD FRONT AS NEAR AS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING WITH TEMPS/DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA UNSEASONABLY MILD. 00Z UPPER AIR DATA AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT MODEL INITIALIZATIONS OF A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH SLIDING DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COASTLINE. THIS WAVE WILL BE THE DRIVING FORCE FOR UPCOMING WEATHER CHANGES. WHILE CURRENT COLD FRONT POSITION IS FURTHER SOUTH THAN MODELS REALIZE...PRESSURE ARE BEGINNING TO FALL TO THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WHICH WILL KEEP IT OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER MILD 24HRS WITH CONTINUED MOIST ADVECTION/CLOUD COVER KEEPING TEMPS FROM GETTING TOO CARRIED AWAY. BEST PRECIP CHANCES WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. WEST COAST SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY ALLOWING FOR THE NEEDED PUSH TO DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE DAY. TEMPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL WITH A SHARP DROP IN TEMPS BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE. STOCKPILE OF MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WITH GREATER SYNOPTIC FORCING FAVORING FAR NE OK/WESTERN AR FOR PRECIP THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LARGEST DEVIATION FROM GUIDANCE TEMPS WAS MADE FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENTS ARE OFTEN UNDERESTIMATED. COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY CLEAR EASTERN OK/WESTERN AR BY WEDNESDAY WITH A REINFORCING COLD FRONT SLATED FOR THURSDAY. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RESIDE WITHIN THIS CHANGE IN AIRMASS. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND PERIODIC WARM ADVECTION INDUCED RAINS WILL HELP ENSURE THIS AIRMASS MODIFIES LITTLE KEEPING TEMPS AT OR BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. PRELIM NUMBERS: TUL 83 67 76 42 / 10 10 70 50 FSM 84 61 84 54 / 5 5 20 80 MLC 82 66 81 48 / 5 5 30 70 BVO 82 64 72 38 / 10 10 70 30 FYV 79 60 76 45 / 5 5 20 80 BYV 77 59 79 42 / 5 5 20 80 MKO 83 64 81 48 / 5 5 40 80 MIO 82 64 74 40 / 10 10 70 70 F10 82 65 78 46 / 5 5 50 70 HHW 83 64 82 57 / 5 5 20 70 FORECAST ID= 21 .TSA... AR...NONE. OK...NONE. $$