000 
FNUS73 KBIS 211457
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER LOSTWOOD LAKW WS BURN......DES LACS REFUGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK
957 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2003

VALID UNTIL 557 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2003
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM SOUTHWESTERN
SASKATCHEWAN THROUGH NORTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA NEAR LOSTWOOD LAKE TO
BISMARCK AND INTO CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AT 9 AM CDT. THIS TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN STATIONARY AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
LOW LEVEL INVERSION EXTENDS TO AROUND 3500 FEET WITH WINDS OF
VARIABLE DIRECTION...PROBABLY SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH OR WEST BELOW THE
INVERSION. WHEN THE TEMPERATURE REACHES THE LOWER TO MID 70S...EARLY
AFTERNOON PROBABLY AROUND 1 PM CDT...THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE WILL LINK
UP WITH THE HIGHER LEVELS AS THE INVERSION ERODES AND WINDS WILL
BECOME NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE GOOD BY
EARLY AFTERNOON AFTER SURFACE NORTHWEST WINDS BEGIN.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 940 CDT 10/21/03
   SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR
   TEMPERATURE.........52...MAX 75
   RH..................60%...MIN 25%
   20 FOOT WIND........AT 940 AM CDT LIGHT AND VARIABLE
   HAINES INDEX........4
   MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FEET AT 1 PM CDT
   TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH AT 1 PM CDT

FOR TONIGHT
   SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45
   RH..................MAX 75%
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH
   HAINES INDEX........5
   MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FEET
   TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH

OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW
   SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75
   RH..................MIN 25%
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
   HAINES INDEX........5
   MIXING HEIGHT.......
   TRANSPORT WINDS.....

FORECASTER...VINING

$$