781 
FXUS64 KBMX 071921
AFDBHM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
220 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2003

CHANCES OF WET WEATHER IS STILL THE FORECAST CONCERN.

CURRENTLY...THE NATION/S WEATHER IS BEING INFLUENCE BY A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY.  A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH STRETCHED ACROSS ALABAMA FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
WITH ABUNDANT MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THE AREA...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...THINK SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH FROM NW TO SE
AS DRIER AIR SLOWLY WORKS INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING.  WILL TIER POPS
ACCORDINGLY...HIGHEST SE TO NO POPS NW.  THINK CLOUDS WILL LINGER
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH MORE BREAKS AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE
59.  PATCHY FOG MAY BE A CONCERN OVER THE AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH
WITH WET GROUND IN PLACE.  WILL MAKE LAST MINUTE DECISION TO INCLUDE
FOG OR NOT.

ON SUNDAY...EXPECT MORE SUN AND WARMER TEMPS OVER THE AREA AS THE
ATMOSPHERE DRIES OUT SOME.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
AREA IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT WITH THE BEST DYNAMICS AND LIFT STAYING
NORTH OF THE AREA...THINK PRECIP COVERAGE WILL BE SCATTERED AT BEST.
WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS EVERYWHERE AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE UNSTABLE
AND AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...COLD FRONT WEAKENS AND SLOWLY DRIFTS
SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA.  BELIEVE FRONT WILL NOT MAKE THROUGH THE
AREA...SO WILL CONTINUE LOW POPS OVER THE AREA.

BEYOND MONDAY...MADE VIRTUALLY NO CHANGES TO ONGOING FORECAST.
EXPECT A WARM MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO PREVAIL.  AS WEAK SHORT WAVES
MOVE ALONG A ZONAL FLOW TO PROVIDE LIFT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE PERIOD.

BHM 068/086 065/087 066 24221
MGM 070/089 068/089 067 43321

.BHM...NONE.

MBS/91