291 
FXUS62 KJAX 040213
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
910 PM EST MON MAR 3 2003

FOR THE EVENING UPDATE...MOST OF THE STEADIER LIGHT RAIN WAS ACROSS
SOUTH GEORGIA ALTHOUGH SPORADIC LIGHT RAIN WAS OCCURRING IN THE FL 
CWA. FORTUNATELY...AMOUNTS CURRENTLY NOT HEAVY ENOUGH TO PROMPT 
ANY FLOOD ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS. ALSO...DUE TO THE DRY AND STABLE 
AIR BETWEEN 950 AND 750 MB (AS PER JAX 00Z SOUNDING)...A LOT OF THE 
PCP (THAT IS CURRENTLY ON RADAR) WAS EVAPORATING BEFORE REACHING THE 
GROUND. 

HOWEVER...EXPECT THE PCP TO BECOME MORE STEADIER AND HEAVY TIMES 
OVERNITE (MOST LIKELY BY AFTER 06Z) AS THE WARM FRONT (ACROSS CENTRAL FL)
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF UPPER JET SWINGS 
THROUGH. FOR MORE INFO...REFER TO SWODY1. AGREEMENT AMONG THE 
MESO-ETA...ETA...AND GFS OF AT LEAST A HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN 
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH THE HEAVER 1+ AMOUNTS 
NEAR THE THE I-10 CORRIDOR IN NORTH FLORIDA WHERE MORE RAIN IS NOT 
NEEDED. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO WATCH OUT FOR THIS SITUATION OVERNITE.
WILL CONTINUE WITH CURRENT FLOOD WATCH AND POPS.     

MARINE...WINDS GENERALLY NORTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS OFFSHORE WITH 3 FOOT SEAS
AT BOTH GRAYS REEF AND BUOY 43 NM EAST OF ST AUGUSTINE. ALL MODELS
SHOWING WINDS VEERING AND INCREASING OVERNITE. CURRENT FORECAST ON 
TRACK.

.JAX...
FL...FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES FLZ020>025...FLZ030.
GA...NONE.

PP/ECZ