095 
FXUS64 KBMX 152101
AFDBHM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
300 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2002

HIGH PRESSUE ACROSS THE REGION WILL KEEP CONDITIONS MOSTLY CLEAR
THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THE BETTER PART OF MONDAY.  WEAK UPPER
SHORWAVE MAY BRING A FEW CLOUDS INTO NORTH ALABAMA IN THE
AFTERNOON...BUT I DONT THINK IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO FOREGO A MOSTLY
SUNNY FORECAST.

MODELS SHOW A WEDGE-LIKE PATTERN DEVELOPING IN THE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY TIME FRAME...AS SURFACE WINDS SWING AROUND TO THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST.  NOT REALLY A PERFECT SETUP FOR A VERY STRONG WEDGE...AS
THE SURFACE HIGH DRIVING IT IS PRETTY FAR NORTH.  BUT...THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BE ABLE TO TAP SOME MOISTURE...AND CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT AND LAST INTO TUESDAY.

SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME RAIN IN NORTH ALABAMA ON
TUESDAY...AND WILL TAPER POPS FROM LIKELY IN THE TN VALLEY TO SLIGHT
CHANCE IN A ZONE BETWEEN BHM AND MGM.  STILL LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN RAIN
EVENT WILL COME THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

HSV 035/060/043/054 0046
BHM 035/062/043/056 0014
MGM 035/065/043/060 0001

.BHM...NONE.