000 
FXUS64 KHGX 032005
AFDHOU

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
305 PM CDT MON JUN 3 2002

THE SPOTTY SH/TSRA ACTIVITY IN/AROUND SE TX SHOULD INCREASE JUST A 
BIT MORE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTN. SO, WILL KEEP WITH THE 
LOW POPS FOR THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. NOT TOO MANY CHANGES PROGGED 
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST AND UN- 
STABLE. CONTINUED WARMING AND WEAK CAPPING WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO 
THE SUMMERTIME PATTERN. WILL GO AHEAD AND ADJUST POPS ACCORDINGLY. 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING STILL LOOKS TO BE THE FLY IN THE 
FORECAST OINTMENT. AVN CONTINUES TO BRING A VERY LATE SEASON COLD 
FRONT INTO SE TX DURING THAT TIME FRAME AS AN ASSOCIATED S/W ALSO 
MOVES THROUGH. DECENT PWS (1.5-1.8) AND FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES 
COMBINED WITH THE INCOMING FEATURES SHOULD BRING SOME PRETTY GOOD 
RAINS TO THE CWFA. HOWEVER...THE OTHER LONG RANGE PROGS ARE STILL 
KEEPING THE FRONT WELL NORTH OF US AS THEY STILL CONTINUE TO CLOSE 
OFF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SW U.S.. AS WE HAVE ALREADY STARTED DOWN 
THE AVN PATH WILL GO AHEAD AND CONTINUE ON IT...BUT CONFIDENCE RE- 
MAINS LOW (AS WERE ALSO WORKING AGAINST CLIMATOLOGY). THE PROXIM- 
ITY OF THE STALLED/WEAKENING FRONT WILL WARRANT CHANCE POPS IN FOR 
THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AND LOWER/ZERO POPS AND A RETURN OF WARMER TEMPS 
FOR THE WEEKEND. 41/45

.HGX...NONE.

PRELIMS...
CLL BB 073/091 073/087 067 222
IAH BB 074/089 074/087 070 222
GLS BB 076/085 076/085 076 222