000 
FXUS64 KMAF 021715 AAA
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1214 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2002

COMPLICATED FORECAST WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY BISECTING CWA.  AT 02/17Z
...FRONT LAY FROM NEAR GUADALUPE PASS TO SOUTH OF FORT STOCKTON TO
NEAR DRYDEN.  MUCH COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH LOW AND HIGH
CLOUDS COMPLICATING MATTERS FURTHER.  WILL DEFINITELY LOWER
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT HOW MUCH IS GOING TO BE A BEAR.
LOW CLOUDS WILL MIX OUT...BUT HIGH CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVER GOOD
PORTION OF CWA.  MSAS INDICATING OVER 1MB PER HOUR PRESSURE RISES AT
02/17Z OVER UPPER TRANS PECOS...WITH JUST UNDER THE SAME IN EASTERN
PERMIAN BASIN.  EARLY MAY SUN WILL TEND TO OFFSET SHALLOW COOL
AIRMASS SOMEWHAT.  HOWEVER...WILL LOWER TEMPERATURES A GOOD 10 TO
15 DEGREES IN NORTHEAST ZONES...AND UP TO 5 DEGREES BEHIND FRONT
WHICH APPEARS WILL SETTLE TO NEAR VAN HORN...DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND
NEAR BIG BEND BY LATE AFTERNOON.

WSETA INDICATING SLIGHT POPS BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WHICH
IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING.  BUT LACK OF
MOISTURE...TIMEFRAME OF PRECIP...AND ISSUANCE OF AFTERNOON ZONES WILL
HINDER ADDITION OF ANY POPS ATTM.  WILL TWEAK WINDS ACCORDINGLY.
UPDATE WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

.MAF...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

AKL