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FXUS66 KLOX 272208
AFDLOX
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
300 PM PST WED FEB 27 2002

SHORT RANGE...ALL MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY WITH INCREASING
CYCLONIC FLOW AND DEEPENING MARINE LAYER NEXT TWO DAYS. WEAKENING
OFFSHORE GRADIENTS ALREADY EVIDENT AS LA COASTAL TEMPS DOWN 10 TO 15
DEGREES FROM YESTERDAY WITH WEAK ONSHORE BREEZES. WILL INTRODUCE
MARINE LAYER CLOUDS AND FOG INTO ZONES 40 AND 41 TONIGHT AND THEN
INLAND PENETRATION LIKELY THU NITE TO INCLUDE VALLEYS AND UP THE
COAST. LOWER TEMPS BOTH NIGHT AND DAY TO BE EXPECTED. HIGH CLOUDS 
HAVE THINNED CONTINUOUSLY TODAY AND WILL WORD MOST AREAS TO START
AS MOSTLY CLEAR AS A RESULT.  

MID RANGE...STRONG SHORT WAVE TO DROP INTO GREAT BASIN AND
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.  RESULT WILL BE A DECENT WIND EVENT STARTING
LATE THU NITE IN THE MOUNTIANS AND ESPECIALLY FRI NITE AND SAT IN
COASTAL AREAS. 850 MB TEMPS DROP FROM NEAR 14C TO NEAR 9C BY LATE FRI.
THUS HIGHS WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN LAST OFFSHORE EVENT.
 
LONG RANGE...MODELS WEAKEN OFFSHORE PATTERN LATE SUNDAY WITH SOME
MODERATION IN AIRMASS TEMPS. MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER BY LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL IS LOW AS A RESULT. GIVEN
PERSISTENCE OF DRY HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE LAST FEW WEEKS WILL WORD
EXTENDED FORECAST MORE IN LINE WITH ECMWF SOLUTION. 

LAX 000. MORRIS.

.LOX...NONE.