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569 
FXUS62 KJAX 091822
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
215 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2000

CURRENTLY...SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THE RIDGE ON TOP OF COASTAL GA 
SUPPRESSING CLOUD DEVELOPMENT. CU FIELD COVERS THE AREA AND ALL 
ACTIVITY ON THE RADAR IS SOUTH OF OUR CWA. SEA BREEZE IS CLEARING 
THE GA COAST AND EXTREME NE FL. 

MODELS AGREE ON THE MID/UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST GRADUALLY 
PUSHING WESTWARD TO TX LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AND THE SFC RIDGE 
SINKS TOWARDS SOUTH FL THROUGH THE PERIOD. NGM/AVN SHOW A SHORTWAVE 
FALLING DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE WHILE ETA BARELY 
ACKNOWLEDGES ITS EXISTENCE. PREFER TO THINK THERE IS SOMETHING TO 
THIS FEATURE BUT WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE MOSTLY LOWER FWC POPS. SOUTH 
WINDS WITH SOME SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS WILL CREATE A SLIGHT CHANCE 
ON MONDAY WITH MORE COVERAGE SOUTH OF GNV. ON TUESDAY...WINDS BECOME 
WESTERLY AND POPS INCREASE TO CHANCE CATEGORY FOR AFTN AND EVNG TS.

EXTENDED...LOOKS LIKE IMPROVING CHANCES OF PRECIP BY MID WEEK. AN 
UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE EAST COAST SAGS INTO GEORGIA WHILE A SFC LOW 
DEVELOPS ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST AND MOVES NORTHWARD AS IT DRAGS A 
FRONT ACROSS THE FA LATE FRIDAY.

MARINE...WINDS BECOME SOUTH TONIGHT WITH A SEA BREEZE DEVELOPING 
AGAIN MON AFTN. THEN MON NIGHT WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT TO SW-W AND 
INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KT. 

PRELIM
AMG 69/94/73/95 0113
SSI 76/89/77/92 01-3
JAX 71/92/72/95 -1-2
GNV 72/92/72/94 02-3 28

.JAX...
.GA...NONE
.FL...NONE

TRABERT