633 
FPUS03 KMHX 061819
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
215 PM EDT WED AUG 6 1997

RDU: OTHR THAN ISOLD EVE SHRA...CLR/PC OVRNGT W/OUT POP...MR CLDNS SRN
TIER THU OTRW PC W/ LW CHCS MNLY CST. PC MST SECTIONS THU NGT INTO FRI
EXCPT MOCLDY S CST/OUTER BNKS FRI. FWC TEMPS APR GNRLY ON TRACK.

CWF: NOT MUCH CHG APRS IN STORE IN UPCOMING FCST AS SFC RDG BLDG N COMBO
W/ WK LW PRES PASSING S/E LOOKS TO CONT NE TO E TRAJ THRU FRI. SHUD SEE
15 KT GRAD PERSIST INTO THU W/ SOME INCRS IN SPDS LTR THU INTO FRI AS S/W
PASSES ACRS AND SFC WKNESS LIFTS NWD. ATTM PLAN TO BOOST GRAD TO 15-20 KT
THU NGT/FRI BUT STAY BLO SCA GIVEN MDL UNCERTAINTY W/ EXACT LOCATIONS OF
SFC WVS OFFSHR. CUD BE CLS W/ SEAS S LT FRI AS RDG WEDGES S AND WV EXITS
PER AVN 48HR PROGS SO WL BOOST TWD 5 FT BUT NOT SPLIT WTRS ATTM.

DISC: NOT MUCH CHG TO THE CRNT SCENARIO AS UPR TROFFINESS ACRS THE E TO
REMAIN IN PLC THRU THU AND THEN BEGIN TO WKN AS 5H HGHTS SLWLY BLD INTO
FRI. LAST S/W DIVING THRU UPR TROF TO BE MAIN WX CONCERN THU INTO FRI W/
NWD XTNT OF AVAIL RH THE MN QUEST. W/ MDLS SHWG S/W TO FLATTEN ACRS THE
MID ATLC APRS MAJ OF MSTR TO RMN S W/ SFC WV AS 85H VEERING APRS WK. COOL
POOL ALF APCHG FRM THE NW CUD BE ENUF TO SPARK WDLY SCT TSRA BUT QUITE
IFFY GIVEN LW DWPTS AND LKLY OVRDNE ETA INSTAB IN NE TRAJ. MAJ OF MEAN RH
TO SHFT OFFSHR THU NGT/FRI AS RDG RE-ESTBLSHS BUT DEEPER ONSHR FETCH LKLY
ENUF TO BRING SC ONSHR LT THU NGT INTO FRI CST. OTRW GUID SHWG BNDRY
REMAINING S OVRNGT AND GIVEN LIMITED MSTR THNK CAN GO W/OUT POP TNGT. FWC/
FAN GNRLY CLS BUT LK AOB LW TEMP VALUES INLND/N OTRW OK.

.MHX...NONE.
JH