National Weather Service Raw Text Product

948 
FPUS64 KMAF 020217
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
917 PM CDT THU MAY 1 1997

THE DRYLINE IS STILL LOCATED N/S ACROSS THE WRN PERMIAN BASIN. AS OF
0200Z..IT EXTD FROM JUST WEST OF LBB..TO JUST EAST OF INK...TO WEST
OF FST. CURRENT RADAR ANIMATION INDICATES IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD AS
A COLD FRONT OVER NM APCHS THE AREA. LOOKING AT OUR LOCAL SOUNDING..
IT WAS POTENTIALLY VERY UNSTABLE WITH CAPES AOA 2800 AND -7 LIS AS OF
LAUNCH TIME. FORTUNATELY..THE CAP STRENGTH REMAINED HI ENUF TO KEEP
TCU EARLIER FROM BREAKING THRU. CAP STRENGTH IS HIER NOW..RANGING
FROM AROUND 8C OVER THE DAVIS MTNS..TO 3C TOWARD SCURRY CNTY. LOCALLY
...MAY 1ST SO FAR IS CALM WX-WISE.

AFTER COOR WITH LBB AND SEEING NEW DAY-1 SPC DISCO..WILL KEEP MENTION
OF PCPN OUT OF THE FCST FOR NOW. HOWEVER..THE RETROGRADING DRYLINE
AND THE APCHNG CDFNT COULD CHANGE THINGS AROUND MIDNIGHT. WATER VAPOR
SATL PIX SHOWS AN UPPER DISTUBANCE OVER SRN AZ..THAT SHUD BE OVER
THE WRN PARTS OF THE CWA AFTER 06Z. HAVE LET HIGH WIND WARNING FOR
GDP EXPIRE AT 0200Z..AS WINDS THEIR ARE JUST BELOW WARNING CRITERIA.
WILL MAKE GOOD MENTION OF BREEZY CONDITIONS THERE IN NEXT AREA WIDE
NOWS. THANKS AGAIN LBB FOR COOR...

BOYD/YOUNG