985 
FPUS03 KMLB 070714
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
210 AM EST FRI FEB 7 1997

A FEW LATE SHOWERS DEVELOPED INVOF OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
CENTRAL FL AND CONTINUE DRIFTING NORTH. ADDITIONALLY...FOG HAS
DEVELOPED IN MANY AREAS...BUT PATCHY MID/HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP KEEP
DENSE FOG FROM BECOMING WIDESPREAD. 

FOR TODAY...SUBTROPICAL JET FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER GEORGIA...WITH
INCREASING AMOUNTS OF HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED THE FARTHER NORTH YOU GO
IN THE FL PENINSULA. A SURFACE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE TEXAS GULF COAST AND MOVE NORTHEAST. AS THIS
OCCURS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP TODAY...LIFTING THE
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTH...ALONG WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH THAT
DEVELOPED OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS. WITH THE AREA RETURNING TO THE
WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...SLIGHT DIFLUENCE ALOFT UNDER DECELERATING
UPPER JET...AND LIFTED INDICES FORECAST TO BECOME NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY
UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/FEW
STORMS COULD DEVELOP.

THE REDEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW LEVEL WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE MAY BE A
KEY EVENT IN THE FORECAST SINCE IF THIS OCCURS...ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE COULD PRODUCE A CONTINUED THREAT OF WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FL TONIGHT...WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/EMBEDDED STORMS EXPECTED AGAIN SAT AS THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION. 

PETERSEN