752 
FPUS03 KMHX 040708
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
207 AM EST WED DEC 4 1996

DONT SEE ANY PROBS FOR TDY AS SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING
VORT MAX DOMINATES ALONG WITH STRNG DNSLOPE TRAJS. THIS MEANS PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE...85H TEMPS GETTING COOLER TDY AND THINK FWC GUID IS ON
THE RITE TRACK WITH 58-61 CNTRL/SRN CST AND LO/MID 50S OTR BNKS. SFC
HI SETTLES OVR REG TNT WITH CLR SKIES AND DECUPLNG INLAND...LOW TEMPS
OF LO/MID 30S COMMON WITH 40 OR SO OTR BNKS. DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO
CREEP IN ON THU...AT THIS PT BELIEVE AVN/NGM MORE IN LINE WITH SPEED
AND POSITION OF VORT MAX GIVEN ABUNDANCE OF ENERGY COMING INTO PAC
NW...ETA A LITTLE SLOW. REGARDLESS...IT APPEARS CLDS WL BE ON THE
INCR AS VORT MAX BEGINS TO PROVIDE LIFT DURING THE AFTERNOON. AS LO
LVL WNDS VEER AND UVV ARRIVES SOME SHWRS MAY MOV IN OFF THE WTR AND
IT MAY BE WORTH LO POPS FOR NOW. WE CAN WAIT ONE MORE RUN AND BEEF
THINGS UP IF WE HAV TOO. TEMPS IN THE 50S.

CWF: CRNT FCST LKS GOOD. PROB A BRIEF SURGE OF CAA THIS MORN AND
TOWERS MAY GO ABV SCA FOR AN HR OR TWO...AT THIS PT THINK ONGOING
FCST OF 20KT GOING TO 15 KT IS GD. BY THU WL START WNDS NE AND BRING
THEM ARND TO SE IN THE AFT. NO FLAGS AND DYSHFT CAN MONITR IN CASE
CAA IS STRNGR THIS MORN.

.MHX...NONE.
GATES