000 
TTAA00 KLAS 022150

MOJAVE DESERT/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
150 PM PST SAT MAR 2 1996

DRY NWLY FLOW ALOFT CONTS THIS AFT W/RDG AXIS ALONG W COAST SHOWING
LTL EWD DRIFT ON STLT.  THIS FITS WITH PATTERN OVR THE PAC AS CLOSED
UPR LOW VCNTY 42N/142W AT 20Z CONTD DRIFTING SLOWLY WWD.  OF THE 12Z
MODELS...ETA/AVN COMBO HAVE THE BEST SOLUTIONS OVR THE WRN U.S..  THE
NGM IS WAY TO FAST W/FEATURES AND HAS BEEN MOSTLY IGNORED FOR THIS
FCST. INITIALLY...RDG AXIS TO DRIFT SLOWLY EWD AND MOVE OVR SRN NV BY
12Z SUN...THEN E OR REGION BY 00Z MON.  BASED ON STLT AND ETA/AVN
RH-TIME SECTIONS...EXPECT BULK OF ANY CIRRUS TO REMAIN OVR SRN CA
TNGT...THEN SLOWLY INCR ACRS SRN NV/NW AZ BY 00Z SUN.  EVEN THIS MAY
BE OVERDONE AS APPEARS THAT ON STLT TROPICAL MSTR FEED HAS BEEN CUT
AND NOT SURE HOW MUCH HIGH LVL MSTR WILL BE AVAILABLE SUN.

UPR CLOSED LOW TO BEGIN SHEARING APART SUN AND DRIFTING EWD AS S/WV
DIVES SWD ACRS B.C..  S/WV TO BECOME INVOLVED W/UPR LOW AS ENTIRE
SYSTEM REDEVELOPS OFF PAC NW COAST MON. MAIN FORCING TO REMAIN
WELL TO THE N AS WEAK SFC TROF SLIDES INTO NV MON.  WILL KEEP IT DRY
MON AND MENTION BREEZY DURING AFTERNOON AS THERMAL/HGT FIELDS
TIGHTEN A BIT.  FOR EXTENDED...AVN DOES INCRS MSTR AND OMEGA FIELDS
AFT 00Z TUE...BUT STILL NOT CONVINCED OF HIGHER FAN POPS.  CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT ISOLD RW- (MAINLY OVR MTNS) TUE SO OPT TO LEAVE
THAT PART OF EXTENDED ALONE. DRY/NWLY FLOW RETURNS WED/THU AS UPR RDG
REBUILDS ALONG W COAST. LAS 0000.  NEMETH