000 
TTAA00 KSPI 022014

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
214 PM CST SAT MAR 2 1996

SFC ANAL SHOWS THAT CLD FRONT HAS ALL BUT CLEARED IL WITH DRIER AIR
LAGGING BEHIND FRONT BY A COUPLE OF HOURS.  SAT SHOWS ONLY BKN CLDS
ACROSS CWA. BOTH MODELS VERIFIED WELL WITH THE HIGH PRESS AREA IN ND AT
18Z. ANOTHER BATCH OF S- OVER MN BUT FEEL THAT THIS AREA OF SNOW WILL
BE SHEERED TO NORTH OF CEN IL THIS EVE WITH JUST S-- AS LOW LVL AIR MASS
DRYS OUT.  BOTH MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH HIGH BUILDING SEWD INTO
THE RGN BY MIDNIGHT WITH CLRING SKIES.  BUT THIS IS WHERE THE MODELS
BEGIN TO DIFFER.  WAA WITH NEXT S/WV MOVES INTO THE PLAINS ON SUN WITH
THE ETA THE WETTEST...EVEN HINTING AT SOME WAA PRECIP FOR SUN EVE.  THE
NGM IS STRONGER WITH THIS S/WV BUT MOISTURE IS LACKING SO FEEL THAT
THIS IS THE BEST WAY TO GO FOR SUN...JUST INCREASING CLOUDS.  WITH
CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT AND WINDS DECOUOPLING AND BECOMING
LIGHT...TEMPS WILL FALL LIKE A ROCK AFTER 06Z TO THE COLDER FWC NUMBERS.
THE FWC HAS A BETTER HANDLE ON THE CLOUD FORECAST.    

PIA  06/25 00
SPI  07/30 00
DEC  06/29 00
CMI  08/28 00

KETCHAM