000 
FPUS3 KSTL 151505

MISSOURI STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1000 AM CDT SUN MAY 15 1995

EARLY MORNING ZNS LK TO BE IN FINE SHAPE WITH ONLY SOME MINOR WORDING
CHGS TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS.  

LATEST SFC ANLYS INDCS WK CDFNT HAS JUST PUSHED THRU CGI WITH WK HI
PRES BLDG INTO THE RGN.  SIMILARLY H85 TROF EXTD FM GRTLKS ACRS SERN
MO.  BOTH REFLECT THE SAME GENERAL TREND TO BE XPCD WITH PAC AIR...WK
CAA WITH DRIER AIR GRADUALLY INFILTRATING ACRS THE STATE.  STLT PICS
SHOW LOW STRATUS DECK OVR SRN MO CONTS TO DISPT.  WL LV MSTLY SUNNY
CONDS ACRS THE WRN OZARKS WITH CLDS HOLDING ON A TAD LONGER IN ERN
OZARKS AND BOOTHEEL...BMCG PCLDY.

STILL WONDERING IF WE MANY SEE ANY COLD AIR SC IN ECNTRL AND NERN SXNS
WITH RESIDUAL LL MSTR.  AT ANY CASE BLV IT WUD BE SHORT LIVED AND WL
MAKE LAST MINUTE DECISION FOR PC/MS.  SUNNY LKS GOOD IN THE WEST AND
NW.

TMP WISE...MXG TOP...PIA...AND UMN SOUNDINGS SUGGEST HIGHS OF
77..76...AND 78 RESPECTIVELY.  WL BE HARD TO PUSH 80 BUT WL LV THIS
ALONE UNLESS WSOS FEEL DIFFERENTLY.

RMNDR OF THE PCKG SEEMS RSNBL ATTM.  GUID DID A POOR JOB ON OVERNIGHT
LOWS ACRS THE PLNS LAST NGT...ARND 4-6 DEGS TOO WARM.  WITH HI PRES
DOMINATING MO TNGT AND TMW IMAGINE THIS WL BE THE CASE IN A FEW SXNS
ACRS MO TNGT.  GUID INDCTS THICKNESS TO RISE THROUGH THE PD HOWEVER
THIS IN RESPONSE TO LRG HGT RISES ALF WITH BLDG UPR RDG.  ESELY LL
FLOW USUALLY SUGGESTS A SLOWER WARM-UP WITH GREATEST CHC FOR RCVRY IN
WRN SXNS OF 2-4 DEGS OVR TDYS HIGHS.

.STL...NONE
GLASS