IEM Daily Feature
Thursday, 29 November 2012
Thursday, 29 November 2012
Drought will persist
Posted: 29 Nov 2012 05:37 AM
Drought is a complex interaction of short and long term precipitation
deficits producing impacts on various time scales as well. If you
consider the past 365 day precipitation departure, Iowa is about 6.5
inches below average currently. How soon can this deficit be made up?
The featured image considers the scenarios provided by the previous 119
years of climate record when appended onto our current condition. The
lines trace out the 365 day departure to date. When considering this
long
term deficit, the chart clearly shows that no improvements will be made
this winter season. Short term deficits could be eliminated though.
More
disturbing is that we will likely still be below normal to start the
growing season as only six years shown provide a scenario were we even
get
to some level better than negative four inches.
Voting:
Good = 39
Bad = 11
Voting:
Good = 39
Bad = 11