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192 
FXUS62 KKEY 190230
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1030 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025
It has been a calm evening across the Florida Keys. KBYX radar is
not detecting any shower or thunderstorm activity across the
coverage area. With that said, there are some isolated showers to
the east of the eastern distant Straits of Florida as well as
isolated showers and thunderstorms just outside the Florida Keys
offshore Gulf waters near R Tower. There was also some activity
just to the south of the Straits near Cuba. GOES East Nighttime 
Microphysics imagery shows partly cloudy skies across the Keys 
with low level cumulus and a few high level cirrus clouds. 
Temperatures along the Island Chain are in the mid 80s with dew 
points in the upper 70s making it sure feel like it is summer. 
Deep mean layer ridging remains anchored across much of the 
Atlantic. As a result, marine platforms around the Keys are 
observing east to southeast breezes near 15 knots and Island Chain
communities observing 10 to 15 mph.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
Deep mean layer ridging is expected to remain the name of the game
through the overnight period. The 00z evening sounding shows a
mostly dry profile, though, there is a shallow moist layer between
950-925 mb or 1500-3000 AGL. The wind profile shows east to
southeast breezes of 15 to 20 knots through the lowest 5000 ft
before becoming chaotic and weaker above this. The PWAT value
measured was 1.58 inches which is between the 25th percentile and
median for the date. Overall, expecting a generally calm night,
though, there is the potential for an isolated shower or
thunderstorm, especially across the marine area overnight.
Therefore, no changes expected with this update.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025
There are currently no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect
across the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, atlantic 
ridging will remain across the Florida Peninsula through Sunday. 
This will support moderate to occasionally fresh east to southeast
breezes and isolated, fast- moving showers and thunderstorms at 
times. Winds will peak in the evening and overnight periods, while
lulling during the day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025
VFR conditions are expected to persist throughout the TAF period.
Near surface winds will remain east to southeast between 9 to 14 
knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  91  82  91  82 /  20  20  30  20 
Marathon  88  82  88  82 /  20  20  30  20 

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...MJV
Aviation/Nowcasts....MJV
Data Acquisition.....DR

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