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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Product Timestamp: 2025-06-12 11:43 UTC
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626 FXUS64 KEWX 121143 AAA AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 643 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 ...New AVIATION (12Z TAFS)... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 128 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Key messages: - Flood Watch continues through the day today. - Locally heavy rain likely along and east of Hwy 281. An upper level trough is moving across TX tonight, and there is a stationary front stretched over Central TX. A line of thunderstorms is moving across the I-35 Corridor, and there are isolated cells ahead of the line in the Coastal Plains. This convection will continue into the start of the new forecast period. Storm movement is slow, and they are producing high rainfall rates. Excessive rainfall is possible. We will continue the Flood Watch over the eastern half of the area through the day today. Additional rainfall of one to three inches with isolated higher amounts will be possible. Showers and storms will move away from the area tonight as the upper trough moves off to the northeast. The low level flow will remain from the south to southeast keeping the airmass warm and moist. A weak shortwave trough in the northwesterly flow aloft may provide enough lift to generate isolated showers and thunderstorms during the day Friday. Conditions do not look favorable for strong storms or heavy rain. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 128 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Key messages: - Drier weather returns. An upper level ridge will build into West TX Friday night keeping the weather dry over our western area. This will keep northwesterly flow aloft over the eastern part of the CWA. The low level flow will continue warm and moist. With daytime heating there will be low chances for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon Saturday through Monday over the eastern half of the area. Tuesday the upper ridge should build far enough east to dry out the entire CWA. Then Wednesday it will retreat back to the west allowing low rain chances over the east again. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 632 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Primary focus this morning is to hone in on the timing of lingering storm coverage. Expecting TSRA to linger at SAT and SSF through 13-15Z followed by a quick round of MVFR mid to late morning and early afternoon, followed by VFR and quiet weather likely for the remainder of the day. A return to MVFR is expected tonight after 06Z at AUS, SAT, and SSF. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 87 74 94 76 / 60 10 20 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 86 73 93 76 / 70 10 20 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 88 73 93 75 / 80 10 20 0 Burnet Muni Airport 87 72 91 74 / 40 0 10 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 97 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 85 73 92 75 / 50 0 20 0 Hondo Muni Airport 90 74 95 75 / 50 0 10 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 87 73 93 75 / 80 10 20 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 84 75 90 76 / 90 20 40 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 88 76 94 77 / 70 10 20 0 Stinson Muni Airport 90 76 95 78 / 70 10 20 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through this evening for Bandera-Bastrop-Bexar-Blanco- Burnet-Caldwell-Comal-De Witt-Fayette-Gillespie-Gonzales-Guadalupe- Hays-Karnes-Kendall-Kerr-Lavaca-Lee-Llano-Medina-Travis-Williamson- Wilson. && $$ Short-Term...05 Long-Term...05 Aviation...MMM