National Weather Service Raw Text Product

973 
FXUS64 KAMA 190452
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1152 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1244 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

-Cooler temperatures expected today behind a cold front. Then
 temperatures warm right back into the mid 90s to lower 100s once
 again Thu onward. 

-Looking mainly dry until Sunday night when chances for showers
 and thunderstorms return to the Panhandles.
 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

With the passage of the cold front yesterday, model agreement is 
expecting the ridge and associated high pressure system to rebound
to close out the work week. This rebound will see dry and hot 
weather return to the Panhandles with afternoon temperatures back 
into the 90s tomorrow afternoon. The only exception to this drier 
weather may be the far southeastern corner of the Panhandles. 
Currently, there are a few CAMs that have suggested that a rouge 
thunderstorm may brush the area. However, the confidence in a 
storm actually being present is low with current chances sitting 
around 10% or less. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

A couple of dry days look to close out the week for the 
Panhandles as the present upper-level high builds over the area. 
Besides the drier weather, this high pressure system will also see
the the Panhandles quickly heat up with latest guidance 
suggesting that the Panhandles will be in the high 90s for both 
Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile, our hotter locations, like the 
Palo Duro Canyon, could be over the triple digit mark with 
concerns for heat related products not too far off for the canyon.
However, there might be some light relief present both of the 
afternoons that could keep us from needing those products. As it 
stands models are expecting a new trough to slowly build out of 
the Pacific Northwest and push eastward across the Canadian 
border. While this trough is not expected to kick up any activity 
for the Panhandles initially, it will force the present upper-
level high to move eastward and allow for some breezy conditions 
for both afternoons. Moving into Sunday will see more of an active
impact form the incoming trough as model agreement sees us in a 
unique set up with the close high to east and the trough to our 
west. This set up will be interesting as it will allow for 
moisture out of both of the gulfs in an almost monsoon like 
fashion. At this time the latest GFS and ECMWF have shown hints of
this higher moisture with a couple of the newest runs seeing PWAT
values ranging from 1.5 to near 2 inches across the western 
Panhandles. These high PWATS would suggest the potential for heavy
rainfall to be possible clear into Tuesday morning. However, this
development is still relatively new with most of the ensembles 
keeping amounts in a more normal range. Regardless, guidance does 
see a 25 to 45% chance of precipitation present clear into 
Tuesday, with potential (15 to 30%) to keep going all the way 
through the end of next week. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

VFR conditions are currently expected. However, there will be a
low chance for fog to develop around KAMA later tonight, but have
left mentions of low visibility out of the TAF at this time due 
to low confidence. Otherwise, 15-20 kt winds are expected today with
gusts between 25-30 kts.


&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...52