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307 
FXUS64 KEWX 122027
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
327 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Key messages:

- Flood Watch remains in effect until 7PM for I-35 Corridor and 
  points east.

- Any storms that form and move over already saturated soils will 
  quickly lead to additional flooding.

The storms that brought significant flooding to the San Antonio 
metro and other locations in South Central Texas have finally pushed 
south into the Corpus Christi CWA. Despite the atmosphere being 
fairly worked over from storms overnight and this morning, we are 
still expecting low chances for redevelopment this afternoon and 
evening, particularly over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau 
where the atmosphere has recovered a bit more this afternoon. 
Temperatures underneath the anvil of storms moving south will be 
much cooler, in the upper 70s to lower 80s for highs today. Outside 
of that, highs in the upper 80s to upper 90s will be common. 

Northwest flow will continue on Friday, resulting in another shot at 
showers and storms, but coverage is expected to be isolated to 
scattered at best, in stark contrast to last night's storm coverage. 
Temperatures will be warmer with highs in the lower to middle 90s 
for most outside of the Rio Grande Plains where highs will top out 
in the 100-105 range Friday. Increased moisture in the soil will add 
to the humidity Friday, with feels like temperatures in the 103-111 
range.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Upper level ridging will begin to build in from the west through the
upcoming weekend and this will lead to a gradual decrease in rain
chances across south central Texas. For now, we will keep rain
chances confined to areas generally along and east of the Interstate
35 corridor, with a dry forecast elsewhere. We may need to add some
low rain chances to portions of the southern Edwards Plateau and 
Hill Country given weak northwest to north flow aloft. As we head
into the middle of next week, mid and upper level ridging continues
to build from far west Texas into the southern plains states. We will
limit rain chances to areas mainly along and east of Highway 77 with
the upper ridge intact. Temperatures should generally stay right
around climatological normals for mid-June. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Few changes from the previous forecast other than to remove mention
of thunder in the TAFS. Expect a return to MVFR ceilings tonight
after midnight. Winds increase somewhat on Friday, around 10 kts out
of the south to southeast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              72  93  76  94 /  10  30   0  20 
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  71  92  76  94 /  10  30  10  20 
New Braunfels Muni Airport     72  93  75  94 /  10  30   0  20 
Burnet Muni Airport            70  92  74  93 /   0  20   0  10 
Del Rio Intl Airport           76 101  79 101 /   0   0   0   0 
Georgetown Muni Airport        70  92  75  93 /   0  30   0  10 
Hondo Muni Airport             71  94  75  95 /   0  20   0  10 
San Marcos Muni Airport        71  93  75  94 /  10  30  10  20 
La Grange - Fayette Regional   72  89  75  92 /  20  40   0  30 
San Antonio Intl Airport       74  94  76  94 /  10  20   0  20 
Stinson Muni Airport           74  95  77  96 /  10  20   0  20 

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for Bastrop-Bexar-Caldwell-
Comal-De Witt-Fayette-Gonzales-Guadalupe-Hays-Karnes-Lavaca-Lee-
Medina-Travis-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

$$

Short-Term...Platt
Long-Term...MMM
Aviation...Platt