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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Product Timestamp: 2025-06-12 17:41 UTC
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907 FXUS64 KEWX 121741 AAA AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1241 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 ...New AVIATION (18Z TAFS)... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 128 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Key messages: - Flood Watch continues through the day today. - Locally heavy rain likely along and east of Hwy 281. An upper level trough is moving across TX tonight, and there is a stationary front stretched over Central TX. A line of thunderstorms is moving across the I-35 Corridor, and there are isolated cells ahead of the line in the Coastal Plains. This convection will continue into the start of the new forecast period. Storm movement is slow, and they are producing high rainfall rates. Excessive rainfall is possible. We will continue the Flood Watch over the eastern half of the area through the day today. Additional rainfall of one to three inches with isolated higher amounts will be possible. Showers and storms will move away from the area tonight as the upper trough moves off to the northeast. The low level flow will remain from the south to southeast keeping the airmass warm and moist. A weak shortwave trough in the northwesterly flow aloft may provide enough lift to generate isolated showers and thunderstorms during the day Friday. Conditions do not look favorable for strong storms or heavy rain. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 128 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Key messages: - Drier weather returns. An upper level ridge will build into West TX Friday night keeping the weather dry over our western area. This will keep northwesterly flow aloft over the eastern part of the CWA. The low level flow will continue warm and moist. With daytime heating there will be low chances for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon Saturday through Monday over the eastern half of the area. Tuesday the upper ridge should build far enough east to dry out the entire CWA. Then Wednesday it will retreat back to the west allowing low rain chances over the east again. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Few changes from the previous forecast other than to remove mention of thunder in the TAFS. Expect a return to MVFR ceilings tonight after midnight. Winds increase somewhat on Friday, around 10 kts out of the south to southeast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 72 93 76 94 / 10 30 0 20 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 71 92 76 94 / 10 30 10 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 72 93 75 94 / 10 30 0 20 Burnet Muni Airport 70 92 74 92 / 0 20 0 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 76 101 79 101 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 70 92 75 92 / 0 30 0 10 Hondo Muni Airport 71 94 75 95 / 0 20 0 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 71 93 75 94 / 10 30 10 20 La Grange - Fayette Regional 72 89 75 92 / 20 40 0 30 San Antonio Intl Airport 74 94 76 94 / 10 20 0 20 Stinson Muni Airport 74 95 77 96 / 10 20 0 20 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for Bastrop-Bexar-Caldwell- Comal-De Witt-Fayette-Gonzales-Guadalupe-Hays-Karnes-Lavaca-Lee- Medina-Travis-Williamson-Wilson. && $$ Short-Term...05 Long-Term...05 Aviation...MMM