National Weather Service Raw Text Product

050 
FXUS64 KHUN 121538
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1038 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today and Tonight)
Issued at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

As an area of low pressure in the Central Plains continues to
meander closer to the CWFA, clouds will continue streaming
overhead and filling in through the day. A look at current
regional radars shows two areas of shower/storm activity nearby.
One is currently dissipating between Birmingham and Atlanta,
trying its best to clip far SErn portions of the forecast area.
The other area is further west and closer to the low, as an area
of convection moves SSW to NNE across Eastern AR and West TN.
Through the day today locally, the tropical airmass in place will
set the stage for increasing rain chances this afternoon, 
lingering into this evening. PWATS increase to just shy of 2",
which is nearing climatological max/record high PWATS later today.
Heavy rainfall will be a primary hazard with any activity that 
develops, and this threat will be monitored for flash flooding
this afternoon/evening. 

Aside from any convection that forms today, those unlucky enough
to receive rainfall will have to deal with the heat. Temperatures
approaching 90F with dewpoints in the lower 70s will lead to heat
index values in the lower 90s, making for a sticky afternoon on
tap. Use caution if/when outdoors today as it will be a bit more
difficult for your body to properly cool off with the higher
humidity expected. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

A near rinse-and-repeat forecast is on tap for Friday through the
weekend as the aforementioned area of low pressure meanders across
the local area. Much higher rain and storm chances exist/increase
as we go into the weekend, with Friday/Saturday housing the best
shot for Northern AL/Srn Middle TN. Heavy rainfall will again be
the primary hazard during this time. PWATS will keep the sticky
conditions in place this weekend, topping out at/near 2", which
will remain near the daily max/record PWAT Climatology for the
CWFA.

Rises on area creeks may occur in areas where showers/storms
repeatedly train across locations, so this will be monitored as we
head into next week. Daytime highs in between showers will top out
in the middle to upper 80s, with a few spots making a run at 90
degrees. This will cause heat index values to creep upward as we
end the weekend and head into the new work week. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

An active pattern will continue through Father's Day weekend and
into early next week as the broad upper-low lingers across the 
Deep South. This will result in medium to high chances for showers
and storms each day, favoring the afternoon and evening hours. A 
few of these storms could become locally strong, but the main 
concern will continue to be the potential for locally heavy 
rainfall from these very efficient rain-producing thunderstorms.
Dense cloud cover and high rain chances will keep highs in the mid
80s during this timeframe, with peak heat index values remaining
in the mid to perhaps upper 80s. Ridging will begin to take shape
by midweek, lowering rain chances and potentially giving us more
heat impacts by Wednesday as heat indices are forecast to peak 
above 100 degrees -- with a few locations flirting with Advisory
criteria.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

VFR conditions will continue through midday. Around 18Z scattered
storms will be possible through around 0Z. With storms being
scattered in nature, uncertainty remains on if and when the 
terminals could be impacted by storms. Thus, VCTS has been 
included during this period. Any shower or storm that does move 
through the terminals will be possible of briefly lowering 
ceilings and visibilities. Refinements will be made in future TAF
issuances if confidence increases. 

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...12
SHORT TERM....12
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...RAD