National Weather Service Raw Text Product

474 
FXUS62 KTAE 261608
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1108 AM EST Wed Dec 26 2012

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
The cold front is nearing Cross City and looks to be past
Valdosta. The threat for any additional showers and thunderstorms
has ended and the strong northwesterly flow has begun. Strong
winds sustaining at 20 to 25 mph with gusts frequently in the 30
to 40 mph range are occurring across the forecast area. Stronger
winds are occurring along the coast, with a gust to 45 mph recently
reported at Apalachicola. As the low pressure area pulls away from
the region and high pressure builds down the Mississippi River
Valley this evening, expect to see winds diminish considerably.
Cooler temperatures are in store tonight with some of the guidance
indicating a light freeze. We will be evaluating the freeze
potential later this afternoon once the full 12z guidance suite
becomes available.

&&

.SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday]...
High Pressure with fair and dry weather will dominate conditions 
across the region on Thursday, but High Temps will still be below 
normal in the mid to upper 50s. This dry weather will be short 
lived, however, as a weak low pressure begins to develop off to our 
west along the Gulf Coast, with the possibility of some light rain 
returning to western parts of the area by Friday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM [Friday Night through Tuesday]...
A progressive pattern will remain in place through the period with 
the GFS and ECMWF agreeing that the next rain maker will move into 
the area on Saturday. This system currently does not look nearly as 
impressive in terms of convective potential as the system we are 
dealing with now, and the official forecast only carries a slight 
chance of thunder close to the coast. For the most part, 
temperatures are expected to be within a few degrees of the seasonal 
averages, except cooler than average Thursday night as weak high 
pressure temporarily builds in from the north.

&&

.AVIATION...[through 12z Thursday]
Occasional MVFR ceilings will persist this afternoon as lingering
low level moisture remains in place of the strong storm system
over the Tennessee Valley. Gusty winds up to 30 to 35kts will also
be possible at times. Expect ceilings to diminish and winds to
decrease after sunset with VFR conditions prevailing through the
rest of the TAF cycle. 

&&

.MARINE...The powerful squall line has moved through the coastal
waters. Gale force winds with high seas will overtake the marine
area from west to east today and linger into early this afternoon.
Once the gale has subsided, small craft advisory conditions will
linger across the waters through late tonight. Lighter winds and
lower seas are expected on Thursday. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
There are no red flag concerns for the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
The 1 to 2 inches of recent rainfall may cause some minor rises
along area rivers. However, due to low flows in area basins, no
significant rises are expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   61  32  57  33  64 /  0   0   0  10  10 
Panama City   57  36  55  42  62 /  0   0   0  10  20 
Dothan        50  31  54  34  59 /  0   0   0  10  20 
Albany        55  30  55  31  60 /  0   0   0  10  10 
Valdosta      63  32  56  31  62 / 10   0   0  10  10 
Cross City    63  32  60  33  66 / 10   0   0  10  10 
Apalachicola  64  38  54  43  62 /  0   0   0  10  20 

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ this afternoon for 
     Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal 
     Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-
     Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-
     Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland 
     Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Jackson-Lafayette-
     Leon-Liberty-Madison-South Walton-Washington.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY until 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ this evening for 
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.
GA...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM EST this afternoon for Baker-Ben Hill-
     Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-
     Dougherty-Early-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Miller-
     Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-
     Turner-Worth.
AL...WIND ADVISORY until 4 PM CST this afternoon for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 1 AM EST Thursday for Apalachee Bay 
     or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River 
     Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to 
     Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee 
     River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM-Coastal waters from 
     Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee 
     River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from 
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM. 
     GALE WARNING until 1 PM EST this afternoon for Apalachee Bay 
     or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River 
     Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to 
     Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee 
     River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM-Coastal waters from 
     Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee 
     River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from 
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM. 
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Godsey
SHORT TERM...Gould
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...Godsey
MARINE...Godsey
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Gould