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213 
FXUS64 KMOB 252001 AAA
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
154 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...LOOKING AT THE LATEST MESOSCALE MODEL DATA...WE
NOTE THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR SEEING STRONG LONG TRACK TORNADOES
WOULD BE FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS. THIS
TIMING LINES UP WELL WITH WHAT WE ARE OBSERVING IN THE SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA AND RADAR IMAGERY. WE EXPECT TO SEE
DISCRETE CELLS WITH ROTATIONS DEEPENING OVER OUR WESTERN ZONES
(SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI) LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ROTATIONS BECOMING
DEEPER AND STRONGER AS WE GO INTO EARLY EVENING.  WE HAVE JUST ISSUED
A PDS TORNADO WATCH FOR ROUGHLY THE WESTERN HALF OF OUR AREA. MOST
ACTIVE PERIOD FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN OUR AREA STILL LOOKS TO BE FROM
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  STAY TUNED.  05/JG

&&

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: 
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 
     NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM... 

     GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO NOON WEDNESDAY FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL 
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA 
     MS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 
     20 TO 60 NM... 

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR 
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO 
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL 
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO 
     PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO 
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM... 

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN 
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN 
     MOBILE BAY... 

&&

$$

05/JG