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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWODY1 Received: 1996-05-16 18:50 UTC
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000 ACUS1 KMKC 161850 MKC AC 161849 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O. VALID 161900Z - 171200Z REF WW NUMBER 0375...VALID TIL 2100Z REF WW NUMBER 0376...VALID TIL 0200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PKB LEX PAH 20 S OJC 40 S EAR BFF CPR VEL 30 SSW U24 50 SE BAM 40 W OWY 40 SE BKE 45 WNW HVR ...CONT... 55 W D45 STC LSE 15 S GRR 10 N CAK PKB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW CHS RMG P02 SLN SNY CYS COS 4BL SGU 45 E BIH TVL LMT 50 E BLI ...CONT... 25 SSW ART JFK. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW GNV AGR PBI. ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST DISCUSSION... ...NRN ROCKIES/GRT BASIN... SCT STG/SVR TSTMS CONT TO DVLP/MOVE NEWD ACRS EXTRM NRN PTNS OF UT/SERN ID. SFC TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPR 70S/NR 80 OVR NRN/CNTRL UT WHICH HAS ALLOWED AMS TO DSTBLZ WITH CAPE VALUES APCHG 1000 J/KG FM NERN UT INTO SERN ID. FAVORABLE INVERTED-V SNDGS AND STG UVV ASSOCIATED WITH SHRTWV TROF SUG THREAT OF SVR TSTMS WILL MOVE NEWD INTO WRN PTNS OF WY. ADDITIONAL TSTMS ARE DVLPG BEHIND THE INITIAL CNVTN OVR NERN PTNS OF NV. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AS THEY DVLP MOVE NEWD. ...NRN/CNTRL PLAINS... AS THE WRN U.S. TROF MOVES EWD...STGR MID LVL FLOW IS SPREADING NEWD ACRS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS FM NRN WY INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS. THIS HAS ENHANCED LLJ THRU THE PLAINS WITH FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW AND HIGH THETA-E AMS /CAPE VALUES 3000-4000 J/KG/ NOW AS FAR NW AS WRN SD. SGFNT SPD SHEAR AND STG VEERING WIND PROFILES SUG SUPERCELLS ARE PSBL ACRS THIS RGN WITH THREAT OF TORNADOES. ...MS/OH VLYS... CNVTVLY INDUCED VORT MAX IS MOVG EWD ACRS CNTRL PTNS OF IA EARLY THIS AFTN. A WELL DEFINED E/W SFC BNDRY EXTDS EWD FM SRN IA ACRS NRN IL/IND INTO SWRN OH. S OF THE BNDRY TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE LWR/MID 80S FM ERN MO INTO CNTRL IL WHERE THIN CIRRUS SHIELD HAS NOT INHIBITED SFC HEATING. UVV ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE TSTpM PTNL ALG AND JUST N OF THE SFC BNDRY FM SRN WI/NRN IL INTO NRN IND. SHEAR PROFILES ACRS THIS RGN ARE SOMEWHAT WK SO LARGE HAIL AND WNDG SHUD BE MAIN SVR THREAT. ..DARROW.. 05/16/96