National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDSJT Received: 2018-10-11 17:50 UTC


105 
FXUS64 KSJT 111750
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1250 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Expect mainly VFR conditions this afternoon and tonight at the
terminals, but widespread low end VFR and mid level clouds. The
ceilings will lower to MVFR at most of the terminals by Friday
morning(after 12Z). For the BBD terminal, will keep it VFR for
now. Also, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will 
develop late tonight and Friday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 653 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018/ 

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 441 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight) 

A cool fall day is in store for West Central Texas today, with light 
winds and afternoon highs ranging from near 70 degrees across the 
Big Country, to the lower and middle 70s elsewhere. A weak 
disturbance will approach from the west later this afternoon. Ahead 
of this feature we'll see increasing clouds from west to east as the 
day progresses. A few showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm 
may develop over southwest sections late this afternoon, then a few 
showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible mainly across 
northern sections overnight. Precipitation is expected to be light 
through tonight, with most areas seeing 1/10 inch or less. 
Temperatures will be warmer tonight due to extensive cloud cover, 
with lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s. 

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Thursday)

Models continue to indicate changes in the forecast for this 
weekend and into next week. The remnants of a tropical system 
(Sergio) may move across El Paso and then on into North Texas and 
Oklahoma over the course of Friday night and Saturday. Some 
afternoon thunderstorms are possible on Thursday, but the activity
associated with this disturbance will mark the beginning of a 
period of potentially heavy rainfall. 

Another period of potentially heavy rainfall may redevelop Sunday
afternoon into Monday. An upper level trough developing over New
Mexico could bring the needed lift to develop showers and
thunderstorms. This is in addition to a cold frontal passage on
Sunday as well, which will help provide some of the needed lift.
Temperatures may be much cooler on Monday with highs only getting
into the upper 40s across the Big Country and the lower 50s 
elsewhere.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 72  60  76  57 /   5  20  40  60 
San Angelo 	 75  62  79  61 /  10  20  40  60 
Junction 	 77  62  79  66 /   5  10  30  50 
Brownwood 	 73  59  77  60 /   0  10  40  60 
Sweetwater 	 69  59  77  57 /  10  30  30  60 
Ozona      	 73  63  75  64 /  20  20  30  50 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$