National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDSJT Received: 2018-08-21 20:33 UTC


754 
FXUS64 KSJT 212033
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
Issued by National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
333 PM CDT Tue Aug 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight-Wednesday)
A muggy feel outside with dewpoints holding in the mid 60s in most 
places. High resolution CAMs initiate convection around 21Z and 
linger it until around 03Z from SJT eastward. PoPs already in the 
forecast so just made some minor changes through 00Z and opted to 
include isold mention of TSRA from 00Z-06Z. Convective inhibition
will win out Wednesday with heat indices near triple digit in most
areas.


.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night-Tuesday)

Otherwise the mid-level anticyclone will build eastward through 
late week and surface dewpoints will slowly trend down. This trend
is also evident in SB LI's trending and mostly holding positive 
through Fri. Increasing heights/7h temperatures will mostly 
correlate with slowly increasing high temperatures through at 
least Fri as well. Tomorrow through next Monday high temperatures
will hover around 100 with Thur/Fri looking to be the hottest 
days of the forecast. According to GFS/ECMWF it looks like a dry 
run into the end of the month?Chance of precipitation 10 percent.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
We expect that fuels in the 10hr-1000hr range will continue to dry 
and probably gain momentum. Surface pressure pattern does support an 
uptick in winds over the weekend and a plot of surface RH shows a 
definitive decrease each successive afternoon, probably through Sat 
slowly providing support for initial attack fires late in the
week?

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 74  97  75 100 /   5   5   5   0 
San Angelo 	 73  99  73 101 /   5  10   5   0 
Junction 	 73  98  72  99 /  10  10   0   0 
Brownwood 	 73  98  72 100 /  10  10   5   0 
Sweetwater 	 74  97  75  99 /  10   5   5   0 
Ozona      	 72  96  71  96 /   5   5   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$