National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDSHV Received: 2019-01-12 16:38 UTC


618 
FXUS64 KSHV 121638
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1038 AM CST Sat Jan 12 2019

.UPDATE...

Widespread coverage of rain and showers has exited our eastern 
most zones quickly this morning. Dry slotting aloft has really 
assisted in this a little ahead of schedule. Remaining moisture 
remains very shallow ahead of the cold front, which as of 16z was
located near an Idabel, Oklahoma, to Longview and Lufkin, Texas 
line. Even given the shallow moisture ahead of the boundary, 
cannot rule out some additional very light rain/and or drizzle 
east of the boundary for the remainder of the day. Started to drop
pops completely but given the well defined cloud cover on VIS 
Imagery this morning along the boundary, decided to keep slight 
chance pops going east of the boundary for the remainder of the 
day. 

Skies are clearing behind the boundary but seeing a cu field
redeveloping north and west of Tyler, Texas with the latest 12z
progs insistent that low cloud cover will fill back in later this
afternoon if not this evening across most of the region. Tried to
portrait this in the sky grids as best as possible. 

Very uncertain with daytime temperatures today as some model
output suggests we will soar to near 60 degrees behind the
boundary but that model output is running a little to warm with
3hrly temperature output while other output is running a little
too cool. Did shave temps just a few degrees mainly along and
north of the I-20 Corridor for the remainder of the day. 

Update out shortly...13.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 622 AM CST Sat Jan 12 2019/ 

AVIATION...

Band of rain moving eastward across area, with rain ending at keld
and kmlu terminals btwn 12/14-16z. Cigs have lowered to ifr with
ocnl fog across ne TX terminals behind this rain and possible at
kshv and ktxk. Increasing westerly winds just west of cwa with
these winds entering ktyr and kggg by 12/13-15z increasing to 
15g25 kts at these sites. W-nw winds increasing areawide 10-15 kts
by aftn areawide. Mvfr cloud decks as these winds increase with
some vfr conditions this aftn possible, especially ne TX
terminals. Cigs becmg low mvfr durg eve with nw winds near 10 kts 
for much of the overnight hours.

/07/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  59  39  49  35 /  20   0   0   0 
MLU  63  41  50  36 /  20   0   0   0 
DEQ  51  34  46  31 /  20   0   0   0 
TXK  53  36  46  33 /  20   0   0   0 
ELD  58  38  49  33 /  20   0   0   0 
TYR  54  37  47  34 /  10   0   0   0 
GGG  55  37  48  34 /  10   0   0   0 
LFK  60  38  52  36 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for LAZ001-002-
     010.

OK...None.
TX...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for TXZ096-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165-166.

&&

$$

13/07