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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDSHV Received: 2019-01-12 16:38 UTC
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618 FXUS64 KSHV 121638 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1038 AM CST Sat Jan 12 2019 .UPDATE... Widespread coverage of rain and showers has exited our eastern most zones quickly this morning. Dry slotting aloft has really assisted in this a little ahead of schedule. Remaining moisture remains very shallow ahead of the cold front, which as of 16z was located near an Idabel, Oklahoma, to Longview and Lufkin, Texas line. Even given the shallow moisture ahead of the boundary, cannot rule out some additional very light rain/and or drizzle east of the boundary for the remainder of the day. Started to drop pops completely but given the well defined cloud cover on VIS Imagery this morning along the boundary, decided to keep slight chance pops going east of the boundary for the remainder of the day. Skies are clearing behind the boundary but seeing a cu field redeveloping north and west of Tyler, Texas with the latest 12z progs insistent that low cloud cover will fill back in later this afternoon if not this evening across most of the region. Tried to portrait this in the sky grids as best as possible. Very uncertain with daytime temperatures today as some model output suggests we will soar to near 60 degrees behind the boundary but that model output is running a little to warm with 3hrly temperature output while other output is running a little too cool. Did shave temps just a few degrees mainly along and north of the I-20 Corridor for the remainder of the day. Update out shortly...13. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 622 AM CST Sat Jan 12 2019/ AVIATION... Band of rain moving eastward across area, with rain ending at keld and kmlu terminals btwn 12/14-16z. Cigs have lowered to ifr with ocnl fog across ne TX terminals behind this rain and possible at kshv and ktxk. Increasing westerly winds just west of cwa with these winds entering ktyr and kggg by 12/13-15z increasing to 15g25 kts at these sites. W-nw winds increasing areawide 10-15 kts by aftn areawide. Mvfr cloud decks as these winds increase with some vfr conditions this aftn possible, especially ne TX terminals. Cigs becmg low mvfr durg eve with nw winds near 10 kts for much of the overnight hours. /07/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 59 39 49 35 / 20 0 0 0 MLU 63 41 50 36 / 20 0 0 0 DEQ 51 34 46 31 / 20 0 0 0 TXK 53 36 46 33 / 20 0 0 0 ELD 58 38 49 33 / 20 0 0 0 TYR 54 37 47 34 / 10 0 0 0 GGG 55 37 48 34 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 60 38 52 36 / 10 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for LAZ001-002- 010. OK...None. TX...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for TXZ096- 108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165-166. && $$ 13/07