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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
448 
FXZS60 NSTU 202138
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pago Pago  AS
Issued by National Weather Service Honolulu HI 
1138 AM HST Thu Feb 20 2020

.Discussion...
Current satellite images show that the center of Tropical
Depression 09F is very close to Tutuila, is moving generally 
eastward, and will likely bring impactful weather to the island
through the afternoon. Heavy showers and thunderstorms wrapping 
into the low are pounding the area, and wind gusts over 70 mph 
have been recently observed, with widespread power outages 
reported. 09F is expected to move away from the region tonight, 
leading to a break in the wind and rain, but this appears to be 
short-lived. 

Another tropical low has formed within the active monsoon trough 
over the region, and is currently centered near 12S 177W, or
about 450 miles west-northwest of Tutuila. Latest model guidance,
(which has not performed exceptionally well with the details of 
the recent weather) indicates that this low will pass over the
region late Friday into Saturday, potentially bringing another
round of high wind, flooding rain and high surf. 

This low is expected to depart the area by Saturday night, 
leaving the islands in a generally wet northerly flow that will 
likely persist into the middle of next week. 

&&

.Marine...
Gale force winds associated with Tropical Depression 09F are
buffeting the region, with a gust to 65 kt recently reported at
Pago Pago airport. Seas have responded, and are 12 to 14 feet at
the Aunuu buoy, and are likely higher near the core of the low,
currently estimated to be very close to Tutuila. As the 
depression moves away tonight, winds and seas may diminish 
somewhat, but this is expected to be short-lived as yet another 
tropical low is expected to cross the region - potentially as 
early as Friday night/Saturday. Gale force winds are expected with
this system as well. After this low moves away, a wet northerly 
flow is expected to prevail, and seas should generally trend down.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Gale Warning
Flash Flood Watch
High Wind Warning 
High Surf Advisory

&&

$$

Birchard/HFO
647 
FXZS60 NSTU 202302 CCA
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected
National Weather Service Pago Pago  AS
Issued by National Weather Service Honolulu HI 
1138 AM HST Thu Feb 20 2020

.Discussion...
Current satellite images show that the center of Tropical
Depression 09F is very close to Tutuila, is moving generally 
southeastward, and will likely bring impactful weather to the 
islands through the afternoon. Heavy showers and thunderstorms 
wrapping into the low are pounding the area, and wind gusts over 
70 mph have been recently observed, with widespread power outages 
reported. 09F is expected to move away from the region tonight, 
leading to a break in the wind and rain, but this appears to be 
short-lived. 

Another tropical low has formed within the active monsoon trough 
over the region, and is currently centered near 12S 177W, or
about 450 miles west-northwest of Tutuila. Latest model guidance,
(which has not performed exceptionally well with the details of 
the recent weather) indicates that this low will pass over the
region late Friday into Saturday, potentially bringing another
round of high wind, flooding rain and high surf. 

This low is expected to depart the area by Saturday night, 
leaving the islands in a generally wet northerly flow that will 
likely persist into the middle of next week. 

&&

.Marine...
Gale force winds associated with Tropical Depression 09F are
buffeting the region, with a gust to 65 kt recently reported at
Pago Pago airport. Seas have responded, and are 12 to 14 feet at
the Aunuu buoy, and are likely higher near the core of the low,
currently estimated to be very close to Tutuila. As the 
depression moves away tonight, winds and seas may diminish 
somewhat, but this is expected to be short-lived as yet another 
tropical low is expected to cross the region - potentially as 
early as Friday night/Saturday. Gale force winds are expected with
this system as well. After this low moves away, a wet northerly 
flow is expected to prevail, and seas should generally trend down.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Gale Warning
Flash Flood Watch
High Wind Warning 
High Surf Advisory

&&

$$

Birchard/HFO