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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDMFL Received: 2024-04-18 10:43 UTC
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229 FXUS62 KMFL 181043 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 643 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 High pressure remains at both the surface and aloft to close out the work week. With the high shifting eastward, an easterly to southeasterly wind flow pattern will provide for increasing tropical moisture and warmer air advecting into the region. Warm temperatures will remain with lower to mid 90s inland and mid to upper 80s along the sea-breeze-cooled coast by Friday. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 Heading into the weekend, the mid-level high begins to break down as a southern stream trough emerges across the northern Gulf of Mexico Saturday into Sunday. While the trough axis will not extend all the way south into southern Florida, it will pinch the high aloft southward a bit. A reinforcing trough emerges Monday into Tuesday which will push the high aloft into the Caribbean. As the trough enters the Atlantic off the Carolinas, a surface low may develop and push the surface boundary southward into the peninsula of Florida with the potential for convection. Rain chances will be highest over northeastern portions of the forecast area, mainly around the Palm Beaches, but will still be relatively modest. To close out the extended period, the surface boundary could pass south into the Florida Straits allowing for a period of northerly wind flow to return with some drier and slightly cooler air. Still some uncertainty that the boundary will be able to clear through but the possibility remains high enough to mention. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 639 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites. East-southeasterly winds, up to 10KT, by the late morning/early afternoon hours. A gulf breeze may develop around 18Z at KAPF bringing SW winds until 00Z. Light and variable at all sites overnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 The wind will lessen and become southeasterly starting on Thursday as the surface high shifts eastward. Seas will generally remain 2 feet or less. && .BEACHES... Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024 A moderate rip current threat will linger along the Atlantic beaches today with a diminishing trend to close out the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 83 71 85 71 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 85 67 87 67 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 85 69 87 70 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 83 69 85 69 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 82 70 83 70 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 82 70 85 70 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 85 70 88 70 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 83 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 83 69 86 69 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 85 69 85 69 / 0 0 0 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...RAG LONG TERM....RAG AVIATION...JS