National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDCRP Received: 2019-01-12 21:09 UTC


794 
FXUS64 KCRP 122109
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
309 PM CST Sat Jan 12 2019

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)...

Clear and chilly conditions are expected tonight as drier/colder air 
advects into S TX. This will also lead to much cooler mx temps on 
Sunday. A southwest flow aloft will begin to bring mid level clouds 
back across S TX through Sunday afternoon.  With surface high 
pressure continuing to build across the area tonight, winds will be 
weak to moderate out of the north and northeast and will continue 
into Sunday. By Sunday night, the high pressure will settle across S 
TX with the pressure gradient relaxing, resulting in light winds. 
However, radiational cooling will be inhibited by increasing clouds 
which will result in mn temps Sunday night being similar to 
tonight's forecasted values. Temps are expected to be in the 40s 
both nights and upper 50s to around 60 Sunday afternoon. 

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)...

Cool day in store for Monday as surface high pressure builds into 
the region and isentropic upglide maintains cloud cover. A short 
wave trough will move northeast through central Mexico Monday night 
and into the Texas Hill Country by Tuesday evening. Rain chances 
will increase as low level warm air advection increases above
the shallow cool air mass. There will be a weak coastal trough form 
over the coastal waters Tuesday evening as this upper level 
disturbance approaches. Chances for rain will taper off by Wednesday 
as the system moves to the northeast. Another weak short wave trough 
will move into the southern plains on Thursday but the lift 
associated with this feature will be north of the area. Only weak 
low level warm air advection could provide some isolated to possibly 
scattered light showers over the coastal plains Thursday. A stronger 
short wave trough will move out of the Rockies into the southern 
high plains Friday. Temperatures will warm to above normal levels 
Thursday into Friday as low level flow veers to southwesterly. The 
short wave trough will send a cold front into the region early 
Saturday morning with highs back to around normal levels next 
Saturday. Rain chances with the front will be confined to the 
coastal plains Saturday. 

&&

.MARINE... 

A weak to moderate north to northeast flow is expected to 
increase to mod/strong flow overnight. A Small Craft Advisory will
be in effect for tonight. Winds will relax Sunday as high 
pressure settles across the area, becoming weak to moderate by 
Sunday afternoon and night.

A moderate northeast flow is expected over the Gulf waters on Monday 
as high pressure continues to build into the region. A weak to 
moderate northeast wind will occur Monday night into Tuesday. A weak 
coastal trough will form over the Gulf waters as an upper level 
disturbance approaches from the west. Scattered showers are expected 
Tuesday into Wednesday. Onshore flow will develop on Wednesday. A 
cold front will arrive early Saturday morning with a moderate to 
strong offshore flow expected behind the front Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    44  60  44  56  46  /  10  10  10  10  20 
Victoria          39  59  41  54  42  /   0   0  10  10  10 
Laredo            48  60  45  56  45  /   0   0  10  10  20 
Alice             44  60  43  56  45  /  10  10  10  10  20 
Rockport          45  58  44  55  46  /  10  10  10  10  10 
Cotulla           42  58  42  55  43  /   0   0  10  10  10 
Kingsville        45  61  44  56  46  /  10  10  10  10  20 
Navy Corpus       48  59  47  55  48  /  10  10  10  10  20 

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Sunday 
     For the following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to 
     Port Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas 
     to Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin 
     Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port 
     Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

TE/81...SHORT TERM
TMT/89...LONG TERM